# Potential Risks of US Dollar Dominance in the ASEAN+3 Financial System

- Link: https://www.thailand-business-news.com/asean/175639-potential-risks-of-us-dollar-dominance-in-the-asean3-financial-system
- Published: 2024-11-18T09:43:00+07:00
- Author: News Desk

**The dominance of the US dollar in the ASEAN+3 financial system poses stability
risks. Policymakers could bolster resilience by promoting economic stability, monitoring
USD activity, implementing macroprudential safeguards, and diversifying with regional
currencies.**

## Dominance of the US Dollar in ASEAN+3 Financial Systems

The US dollar plays a significant role in the ASEAN+3 region’s economic activities,
particularly in cross-border banking, foreign exchange reserves, and currency trading.
Around 80 percent of trade invoices in ASEAN+3 are denominated in US dollars, and
more than half of the banks’ cross-border assets and liabilities are in the same
currency. The dominance of the US dollar is evident as nearly 85 percent of currency
trading in the region is against the dollar, with Asia Pacific central banks allocating
68 percent of their reserves to US dollar assets. Despite a decline in ASEAN+3’s
direct trade and investment connections to the US over the past decade, the US dollar
continues to maintain its prominence across various sectors, including external 
financing.

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## Financial Risks and Market Responses

ASEAN+3’s dependence on the US dollar introduces financial stability risks, such
as heightened susceptibility to US dollar funding stress and its role as a transmission
channel for global shocks. This vulnerability mainly emerges when market volatility
and currency depreciation expectations rise, leading to increased borrowing costs
and restricted access to funding. Consequently, non-financial companies face USD
liquidity risks due to reduced hedging and credit line drawdowns. Despite recent
challenges, the region has shown resilience against US dollar funding stress, primarily
attributed to strong external positions and supportive micro-market factors like
increased USD deposits from domestic investors. The stabilization of the US funding
landscape following the March 2023 regional banking crisis, along with potential
Fed rate cuts, could further improve USD liquidity conditions.

## Enhancing Resilience and Reducing Dollar Reliance

To bolster resilience, ASEAN+3 policymakers are encouraged to strengthen regional
cooperation, improve surveillance of US dollar liquidity, and implement robust macroprudential
regulations. These measures are essential in addressing short-term external shocks
transmitted through the US dollar. Over the long term, reducing reliance on the 
US dollar by diversifying currencies used in regional trade and financial transactions
is crucial. Encouraging the use of local currencies, supported by coordinated regulations
and technology, could enhance financial stability and make regional currencies more
attractive for cross-border activities. By focusing on economic stability and embracing
strategic diversification, ASEAN+3 economies can foster a more balanced currency
ecosystem and reduce the risks associated with the US dollar’s dominance.

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Source: [Risks of US Dollar’s Dominance on ASEAN+3 Financial System ](https://amro-asia.org/risks-of-us-dollars-dominance-on-asean3-financial-system)
