# The Indonesian Stock Market’s Surging Growth

- Link: https://www.thailand-business-news.com/asean/indonesia/139036-the-indonesian-stock-markets-surging-growth
- Published: 2024-05-03T14:38:51+07:00
- Author: SET News

**Investors are optimistic about Indonesia’s stock market due to strong economic
growth and political stability. Opportunities lie in demographics, technology, natural
resources, and regulatory reforms. Risks include macroeconomic, regulatory, and 
currency factors.**

---

## Abstract

The Indonesian Stock Market is experiencing a surge due to several key factors. 
Investors are optimistic, buoyed by the Jakarta Stock Exchange Composite Index reaching
an all-time high. This confidence is supported by Indonesia’s steady economic growth,
which outpaces that of other emerging markets, and the recent presidential election
results promising economic continuity. Long-term structural drivers such as positive
demographic trends, rising technology adoption, and regulatory reforms are also 
contributing to the boom.

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## What happened?

Investors appear optimistic on the Indonesian stock market these days.

The Jakarta Stock Exchange Composite Index (JCI), Indonesia’s benchmark stock index,
reached an all-time high of 7,421 on 14 March 2024, continuing its strong momentum
following a gain of 6.1% in 2023.

The strong market performance has been driven by Indonesia’s steady economic growth
of 5.05% in 2023, which surpassed the growth rate of 4.1% for emerging market and
developing economies.

More recently, investors have also gained confidence on economic continuity after
the General Elections Commission (KPU) declared Prabowo Subianto as the winner of
Indonesia’s presidential election by a wide margin.

These developments cap Indonesia’s steady economic transformation over the past 
decade which has propelled the country to become the world’s 16th largest economy
by nominal GDP in 2023.

## Why Invest in Indonesia?

Clearly, Indonesia is on the radar once again for investors looking at investment
opportunities in emerging markets to gain exposure to dynamic economies.

Many long-term structural drivers, including its economic growth potential, positive
demographic trends, rising technology adoption, abundance of natural resources, 
as well as regulatory reform support this trend.

### #1 – Economic Growth Potential

According to the OECD Economic Outlook, Interim Report February 2024, Indonesia’s
economy is expected to further expand by another 5.1% in 2024 and 5.2% in 2025.

In fact, Indonesia’s projected growth rate in 2024 is expected to exceed that of
China, which is expected to grow by a more modest 4.7% this year.

This growth potential can translate into opportunities for companies listed on the
IDX to expand their businesses and generate higher revenues and profits.

### #2 – Positive demographic trends

Indonesia has a large and youthful population, offering a vast consumer market for
companies to tap. It is home to more than 270 million people, with a median age 
of around 30 years old.

The rise of the middle class in Indonesia has been a significant driver of consumption
growth. This demographic dividend provides structural growth opportunities for companies
operating in various sectors, including consumer goods, retail, healthcare, and 
technology.

As incomes rise and lifestyles evolve, the demand for discretionary goods and services
such as automobiles, electronics, travel, and entertainment is expected to increase.
Companies catering to the needs and preferences of the expanding middle class are
well-positioned to benefit from this trend.

### #3 – Rising technology adoption

Indonesia has seen significant growth in technology adoption and digitalization,
driven by increasing internet penetration, smartphone usage, and the proliferation
of e-commerce platforms.

According to the Google, Temasek and Bain e-Conomy 2023 report, Indonesia’s overall
digital economy is expected to reach about US$110 billion in gross merchandise value(
GMV) in 2025, representing a 15% compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2023.
This is largely fuelled by the growth in e-commerce as digital adoption continues
to rise.

Technology companies and digital service providers are capitalising on the growing
digital economy. This has led to the emergence of tech companies offering innovative
solutions to meet the evolving needs of consumers and businesses.

Some of these companies which were recently listed on the Indonesian stock exchange
include PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk (IDX: GOTO), which was formed as a merger between
ride-hailing giant Gojek and e-commerce firm Tokopedia, as well as e-commerce firms
PT Bukalapak.com Tbk (IDX: BUKA) and Blibli, also known as PT Global Digital Niaga
Tbk (IDX: BELI).

### #4 – Abundance of Natural Resources

Indonesia is rich in natural resources, including palm oil, coal, rubber, minerals,
natural gas, and metals. For example, Indonesia is the world’s largest producer 
of palm oil, which is used in food products, cosmetics and biofuels. It is also 
one of the world’s top exporters of coal, particularly thermal coal used in power
generation.

Indonesia is also one of the world’s largest producers of nickel, which is a crucial
component in the production of lithium-ion batteries used to power electric vehicles(
EVs). It is also a significant producer of copper, another critical component in
EV manufacturing. As the EV market continues to grow rapidly, Indonesia’s position
in the global nickel and copper markets directly impacts the EV supply chain.

Rising global demand for commodities presents opportunities for Indonesian companies
to tap into the abundant supply of resources domestically to expand their market
reach and increase revenues.

### #5 – Political Stability and Regulatory Reforms

While Indonesia has experienced political challenges in the past, it has demonstrated
relative stability in recent years, creating a favourable environment for business
and investment.

The Indonesian government has implemented regulatory reforms to improve the ease
of doing business and attract investment, making the country more attractive to 
both domestic and foreign investors.

In addition, the Indonesian government has prioritized infrastructure development
as a key driver of economic growth. For example, the Trans Java Toll Road project
aims to create a seamless transportation network spanning the length of Java, Indonesia’s
most populous island. Similar to the Trans Java Toll Road, the Trans Sumatra Toll
Road project aims to improve transportation connectivity on the island of Sumatra.
To promote balanced development across Indonesia, the government has announced plans
to relocate the capital city to a new site in East Kalimantan.

These large-scale projects in transportation, energy, telecommunications, and other
sectors create opportunities for companies involved in construction, engineering,
logistics, and related industries. As infrastructure improves, it facilitates business
expansion, reduces operating costs, and enhances connectivity, contributing to overall
economic development.

## What are some risks to look out for?

Investors should remain mindful of risks when considering investments in the Indonesian
market. Some of these risks include macroeconomic risks, regulatory risks as well
as currency risks.

**Macroeconomic risks: **Indonesia’s economy is exposed to external factors such
as global commodity prices and economic conditions in major trading partners. For
example, a prolonged slowdown in China may lead to weaker commodity demand and impact
Indonesia’s economy.

**Regulatory risks:** Indonesia’s political landscape can be complex, with changes
in government policies and regulations impacting various sectors of the economy.
Investors should closely monitor political developments and regulatory changes that
may affect industries such as mining, energy, and telecommunications.

**Currency risks: **For foreign investors, exposure to the Indonesian rupiah adds
another layer of risk. Fluctuations in the exchange rate between the rupiah and 
other currencies can impact the returns of investments. For example, if interest
rates in the US were to remain high, they may lead to capital outflows from emerging
markets including Indonesia, thereby leading to a weaker rupiah.

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Overall, the combination of favourable demographics, ongoing economic reforms, infrastructure
development, and technological advancements position the Indonesian economy for 
long-term growth.

Investors who are looking to gain exposure to the growth potential of Indonesia 
can do so through a broker which offers access to the Indonesia stock exchange, 
or an exchange-traded fund which tracks the performance of the Indonesian stock 
index.

## What to look out for next

Prabowo has committed to turn Indonesia into an advanced and developed economy through
continued development in the commodities sector, as well as infrastructure modernisation
during his election campaign. This may also entail further economic reform to attract
more foreign investments.

With the US Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates in 2024, there might 
be less pressure on emerging market currencies, thereby providing support to the
Indonesia market. Notably, Indonesia’s inflation has also moderated in recent months,
providing leeway for the central bank to cut rates in a calibrated way.

### Where can you find more resources on the Indonesian stock market?

Conducting thorough research may allow us to capture growth opportunities and mitigate
risks when investing in the Indonesian stock market.

The [Indonesian Stock Exchange website](https://www.idx.co.id/en) offers additional
resources for you to get the latest company announcements, products, services, and
key trading statistics on the Indonesian stock market.

### Indonesian stock market at a glance

The Indonesian stock market is the largest in Southeast Asia, with the total value
of companies traded on the exchange, or market capitalisation, reaching close to
Rp 12,000 trillion (US$ 748 billion).

Since 2015, the market capitalisation has grown by an average of 12% per year. In
2023, the market capitalisation increased by 23% compared to the previous year.

The Indonesian stock market has also been buoyed by a boom in new listings, with
79 initial public offerings (IPOs) raising total proceeds of Rp 54,135 billion (
US$3.55 billion) in 2023.

Some of the listings include PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk (IDX: AMMN), which
operates Indonesia’s second largest gold and copper mine, PT Trimegah Bangun Persada
Tbk (IDX: NCKL), one of Indonesia’s largest nickel mining companies, and PT Merdeka
Battery Materials Tbk (IDX: MBMA), which is involved in nickel and cobalt mining.

Companies listed on the IDX are largely in the consumer cyclicals sector, which 
represents about 16.9% of all companies listed. Other sectors which have a sizeable
representation on the IDX include the consumer staples sector, the financial sector,
and the basic materials sector.

The article is produced in collaboration with Beansprout ([https://growbeansprout.com [growbeansprout.com]](https://urldefense.com/v3/__https:/growbeansprout.com/__;!!JAzp1hFw!bFW5IbSwuiYt124luHVFLFEsTvO7fz5uJQ8kGzp831fHGPhwNm7-KeIbVLnMsM-vAKS0dI_pjKno0NMd66o%24)),
a Singapore-based investment advisory platform licensed by the Monetary Authority
of Singapore (MAS).

**Source** : [Why the Indonesian Stock Market is Booming](https://www.aseanexchanges.org/content/why-the-indonesian-stock-market-is-booming/?rand=138677)
