Corporate debt markets in Brazil (Ba2 stable), China (A1 stable), South Africa (Baa3 negative) and Thailand (Baa1 positive) are best-placed to achieve further growth in the coming years, Moody’s Investors Service said today in a report that analyzed trends in 35 emerging markets.
· Study of 35 EMs highlights the key factors for growth of domestic corporate bond markets
These four countries registered the biggest increase in the ratio of mutual funds and insurance investment portfolio assets to GDP between 2010 and 2016, improving their ability to withstand future financial shocks.
“The development of corporate bond markets provides companies with an alternative source of funding beyond bank lending. This can help to mitigate declines in real economic activity from credit disruptions associated with a banking crisis.”Ruosha Li, a Moody’s AVP-Analyst and the report’s co-author
The level of industrialisation in an the economy tends to drive the development of capital markets and results in a need for more capital funding. Countries that are highly reliant on commodity exports often show less progress in industrialisation and are less likely to require as much access to corporate bond market for funding.
The report highlighted the three key factors that help to foster the growth of domestic corporate bond markets: firstly, an increase in the assets under management of domestic mutual funds. Secondly, the growth of insurance companies’ investment portfolios; and lastly, a reliable regulatory regime.
In some cases, the level of the country’s public debt, the size of its domestic equity market and the amount of bank lending to companies also have implications for corporate bond market growth.
Highlights of Thai Bond Market 2018
Total outstanding value of Thai bond market at the end of 2018 surpassed THB 13 trillion for the first time, rising 12% from last year.
Long term corporate bond issuance hit new record high for three consecutive years, reaching THB 879 billion.
Green bond was first issued in Thailand.
Non-resident investor holding of Thai bond reached new all-time high and touched trillion-level to THB 1.002 trillion in November 2018.
For the first time, since the early of the year 10-year Thai government bond yield has declined to stay below 10-year US Treasury yield until now.
The Securities and Exchange Commission of Thailand (SEC) amended regulations effective from April 2018 to tighten selling of bill of exchange (BE) to enhance investor protection
Thailand’s economic growth expected to return to 2019 levels in mid-2023
Although the economy would recover next year, the recovery is still substantially below potential level resulting in a large output loss and could affect Thailand’s potential economic growth in the future with the economy expected to return to 2019 levels in mid-2023.
The Siam Commercial Bank (SCB), one of Thailand’s largest commercial banks, said in its latest economic outlook report that the country’s economy may wait until the second semester of 2023 to return to 2019 growth levels.(more…)
S&P maintains Thailand’s credit rating at BBB+ with stable outlook
Standard and Poor’s (S&P) maintained Thailand’s credit rating at BBB+ . The global rating firm expects the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) to grow at 1.1% this year, with a more optimistic growth at 3.6% per year from 2022 to 2024.
Standard and Poor’s (S&P) maintained Thailand’s credit rating at BBB+ . The global rating firm expects the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) to grow at 1.1% this year, with a more optimistic growth at 3.6% per year from 2022 to 2024.(more…)
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