The United States’ application of the minimised quantitative easing (QE) programme, China’s economic slowdown and the Thai Finance Ministry’s foreign capital control are major elements contribution to the depreciating baht, according to a senior central bank official said.
Pongpen Ruengvirayudh, deputy governor of the Bank of Thailand (BoT), said foreign capital inflows have gradually eased while the US Federal Reserve will scale down its QE measures – a signal of US economic revival and return of capital to dollar-trading markets.
China’s economy is on the downward trend from its 7.7 per cent growth in Q1, a phenomenon which, she said, will have an impact on Asian countries which rely heavily on exports to China.
Foreign investors have slashed their investment portfolios in Thailand’s bond market since last month, she said, adding that the Thai government has been mulling a curb on foreign capital inflows – a major factor that deterred investors.
The Thai currency moved slightly yesterday from Bt30.42/44 to Bt30.38/40 against the dollar. (MCOT online news)
Thailand’s Finance Ministry has announced a move to write a new regulation to control inflows and outflows of foreign capital, a senior cabinet member said. Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Kittiratt Na-Ranong told reporters after the cabinet meeting yesterday that present regulations limit only foreign capital outflows.
The BoT may simply inform the Finance Ministry if it decides to do so, he said. Any decision on the policy interest rate rests with the Monetary Policy Committee MPC, said Mr Kittiratt. He said the MPC, in deciding on the interest rate, should ensure that the baht would not be too strong compared to regional currencies in order to contribute to the country’s economic growth as targetted.
Fitch confirms Thailand’s rating at ‘BBB+’ with a Stable Outlook
Thailand’s ratings are supported by strong public and external finances, which have provided buffers to respond to the economic shock and market volatility associated with the coronavirus pandemic.
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