Asian currencies faltered on Monday, as a rebound in U.S. payrolls data supported the greenback, offsetting optimism of a Sino-U.S. trade deal and further China policy stimulus.
Risk appetite for the dollar increased after figures on Friday showed U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose by a solid 196,000 in March, topping expectations and putting to rest fears of a sharper slowdown in the world’s largest economy.
Leading declines in the region, the South Korean won weakened as much as 0.7 percent to 1,144.0 per dollar, sliding to a more than 5-month low.
“It appears that underlying caution may resurface and prevail over exuberance; keeping emerging Asia forex and asset markets reined in; even if not on the back foot,”
Vishnu Varathan, senior economist at Mizuho Bank in a note.
Washington and Beijing wrapped up their latest round of trade talks on Friday and are scheduled to resume discussions this week to try to secure a pact to end their bitter tariff war.
Separately, China on Sunday said it would step up a policy of targeted cuts to the level of cash banks must hold as reserves, or reserve requirement ratios, to encourage financing for small- and medium-sized businesses, its latest move to boost the slowing economy.
The Chinese yuan was largely flat at 6.7195 per dollar.
Meanwhile, currencies of oil-import reliant countries such as the Indian rupee, Indonesian rupiah and Philippine peso also took a hit after oil prices touched a 5-month high.
The rupee softened 0.4 percent to 69.520 a dollar, while the peso and the rupiah edged down 0.2 percent each.
Investors were also wary about the upcoming general elections in India as voting is set to begin on Thursday, while Indonesia, the world’s third-biggest democracy, will hold presidential elections on April 17.
Currency markets in Thailand were closed for holiday on monday 8
Taiwan trade in focus
The Taiwan dollar inched lower to 30.830 per dollar ahead of the export-reliant island’s trade data due later in the day.
March exports are expected to have contracted 8.3 percent from a year earlier, logging a fifth consecutive month of decline, according to a Reuters poll.
Taiwan is one of the region’s major exporters, especially of technology goods, and its export trend is a key gauge of global demand for technology gadgets worldwide.
Thai baht becoming the region’s worst-hit currency in COVID pandemic
According to data from its tourism ministry as well as the World Bank, Thailand had only a little over 34,000 tourist arrivals as of May 2021, compared with over 39 million in 2019, before the pandemic. Fewer tourists also means lower demand for the Thai baht.
3 Reasons to Be Optimistic About the Baht Right Now
Probably one of the most important factors for the rise of the Baht is the continued weakness of the US dollar, which most experts agree is going to continue declining throughout the rest of the year.
The Thai Baht, our beleaguered currency, has had something of a difficult few years. Successful debt and inflation crises have eroded the value of the Baht numerous times, not least the events of 2015-16, which saw the Baht plunge to some of the lowest levels against the Dollar in history.(more…)
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