Thai exports are likely to be impacted by less than one per cent by the Greek debt crisis, according to an academic at the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce.
Only about 0.2-0.4 per cent of Thai exports are at risk of being affected by the Greek debt crisis, said Aat Pisanwanich, director of the Center for International Trade Studies, University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce UTCC. Dr Aat said that the Greek debt crisis has not yet had much impact on Thai exports as the Eurozone countries and the International Monetary Fund IMF agreed to a rescue package of about US$145 billion in loans to prevent the debt crisis from spreading.
If the Greek debt crisis is limited to Greece alone and does not spread to other countries in Europe, only about 0.1 per cent of Thai exports are likely to be affected.But if the crisis spreads to Portugal, about 0.2-0.4 per cent of Thai exports, valued at US$613 million, could be affected and this scenario is most likely to happen, the director said.
Thailand’s 2010 GDP growth is projected at 3.5%, driven by domestic demand. In the context of weaker global demand in 2010, exports will grow modestly, but the restocking cycle and slow rebound in investment also imply a pick-up in imports, which results in muted net external demand. Public and private investment add 0.8% point to the growth rate, while normal stocking patterns provide a boost to growth of 1.5 % points . Thailand’s Household consumption picks up modestly, adding 0.8 percentage point to the growth rate, whereas public consumption decelerates from 2009 levels but still adds 0.4 percentage point. Financial markets have so far been accommodative of the government’s borrowing plans. The expansion of expenditures stemming from the stimulus packages combined with a decline in revenues due to the economic crisis has led to an increase in the fiscal deficit and, consequently, government debt ratios, which have reached 45 percent of GDP in September.
Because Thailand entered the crisis with a relatively strong fiscal position, the cyclical increase in debt levels is not by itself a concern as long as Thailand’s historical fiscal performance is maintained in the future.
World Bank lowers Thai GDP growth outlook to 2.2%
In the Thailand Economic Monitor released today, the World Bank adjusted its outlook on Thailand’s economic growth this year to just 2.2% from its previous forecast of 3.4%.
BANGKOK, July 15, 2021 – Thailand’s economy continues to take a heavy toll due to the COVID-19 pandemic and is projected to expand modestly at 2.2 percent in 2021, revised down from the 3.4 percent growth projected in March, according to the World Bank’s latest Thailand Economic Monitor “The Road to Recovery” published today.(more…)
Thailand’s Economy and COVID-19: Five Things to Know
Thailand’s GDP fell by 6.1 percent in 2020, the largest contraction since the Asian financial crisis. The tourism sector, which accounts for about a fifth of GDP and 20 percent of employment, has been especially affected by the cessation of tourist travel.
Like many countries, Thailand’s economy was hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic last year. The country’s GDP fell by over 6 percent in 2020 and many workers, especially those related to the tourism sector, lost their jobs.(more…)
Subscribe via Email
TAT expects 850 billion baht ($25.7 bln) in tourism revenue after successful reopening
The Tourism Authority of Thailand (TAT) has set this year’s revenue target at 850 billion baht, 300 billion of which...
Download 1xBet mobile and play all over the world
Placing profitable bets or playing in a casino is now possible comfortably even without being tied to a computer. It...
3 ways Asia can recover from the COVID-19 pandemic faster
Countries in the East Asia and Pacific region will benefit from cooperation in three major areas: vaccine deployment, reviving sectors...
Thailand’s Vaccine Strategy: What went wrong?
Questions are being asked, and not answered, over the decision to rely almost entirely on Siam Bioscience, a local, palace-owned...
Exclusive interview with Richi Kukreja, HR Lead Director for Zoetis South East Asia
Zoetis is a global animal health industry leader, dedicated to supporting customers and their businesses in ever better ways. Building...