The baht appreciation will affect the economic growth by up to 2.7 percent. Meanwhile, the Ministry of Finance has predicted that that US Dollar might get weaker, and urged entrepreneurs to be ready to cope with it.According to The Fiscal Policy Ofiice FPO Finance Minister Korn Chatikavanij said that stability of the nation’s economy is partly influenced by inflation.
The higher the inflation rate, the more the people and businesses will be affected. Thailand has been so used to low inflation rates in the past ten year that it does not realize the true effect of inflation.As for MR. Pridiyathorn Devakula’s suggestion that the government impose a “Tobin tax” as a means to curb capital inflows, the Minister said the government was ready to listen to suggestions from all parties and would discuss them with the Central Bank.
As for the 15% tax imposed on capital gains and interests earned from government and pubic enterprises’ bonds, Korn said the measure was effective given the amount of purchases had decreased. He also advised that entrepreneurs increase their production efficiency as he believed the greenback would depreciate further against the baht and other regional currencies.
As regards the concept of “Tobin tax”, which is aimed at reducing or removing the incentive for short-term financial speculation in the currency markets and allowing authorities to control capital flows, Naris Chaiyasoot, the Director of Fiscal Policy Office FPO, said the Office was studying it; however, whether the concept will be applied depends on the top-level-management’s decision.
Thailand’s economic growth expected to return to 2019 levels in mid-2023
Although the economy would recover next year, the recovery is still substantially below potential level resulting in a large output loss and could affect Thailand’s potential economic growth in the future with the economy expected to return to 2019 levels in mid-2023.
The Siam Commercial Bank (SCB), one of Thailand’s largest commercial banks, said in its latest economic outlook report that the country’s economy may wait until the second semester of 2023 to return to 2019 growth levels.(more…)
World Bank cuts Thailand’s GDP growth outlook to 1% in 2021
The World Bank has said that Thailand’s economy is forecast to grow 1% this year, down from the 2.2% projected in July, hit by a spike in COVID-19 cases and a delayed reopening to visitors.
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