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Thai 2011 GDP projection revised to 1.4%, 2 years lowest

The University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce (UTCC) Economic and Business Forecasting Center revised Thailand’s 2011 economic growth or gross domestic product (GDP) projection to 1.4 per cent, lowest in two years, said centre director Thanawat Polvichai.

Aishwarya Gupta

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GDP growth graph

The University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce (UTCC) Economic and Business Forecasting Center revised Thailand’s 2011 economic growth or gross domestic product (GDP) projection to 1.4 per cent, lowest in two years, said centre director Thanawat Polvichai.

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The earlier 2011 GDP growth forecast was 3.6 per cent but GDP in the fourth quarter of 2011 has been affected by the flood crisis which slashed about Bt350 billion from the economy. GDP in the fourth quarter is likely to shrink 3.7 per cent, particularly the industrial sector, possibly contracting 10.4 per cent.

Output suspension has impacted exports in the fourth quarter which are likely to shrink 5.5 per cent, with the greatest impact on the auto industry while consumption is forecast to contract two per cent and consumer confidence to drop substantially to the lowest in ten years.

Regarding the economy in 2012, GDP growth is projected to rise 4.7 per cent from the earlier projected 4.3 per cent due to the Bt500 billion budget to be used for post-flood rehabilitation.

The government’s deficit budget and loan offer by commercial banks will stimulate the Thai economy next year to grow more than this year.

GDP in the second half of 2012 will grow 5-7 per cent, better than the 3-4 per cent growth expected in the first half of the year, provided that major export manufacturers will resume production in Feb-March 2012.

Moreover, exports will resume in the second quarter next year, the government’s daily minimum wage rise to 300 baht and the rice mortgage scheme will support higher purchasing power for consumers.

Source : MCOT News

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Developing Asia growth set to rebound to 7.3% in 2021 (ADB)

Thailand slow vaccination progress coupled with a surge of infections has prompted Kasikorn Research Centre to lower its growth projection for the Thai economy this year from 2.6 percent to 1.8 percent. However, ADB’s forecast for Thailand growth in 2021 remains set at 3% (and 4.5% in 2022).

Olivier Languepin and Asian Development Bank

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MANILA, PHILIPPINES (28 April 2021) — Economic growth in developing Asia is set to rebound to 7.3% this year, supported by a healthy global recovery and early progress on coronavirus disease (COVID-19) vaccines, according to a new report from the Asian Development Bank (ADB).

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Thailand extends the 7,000 baht “Rao Chana” scheme to 33.5 million Thais

The Ministry of Finance said that the new proposal will increase the number of people eligible for the “Rao Chana” relief package to 33.5 million while raising the budget to 3 billion baht.

Olivier Languepin

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The Ministry of Finance, said today that the new proposal will increase the number of people eligible for the “Rao Chana” relief package to 33.5 million while raising the budget to 3 billion baht.

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Economics

Thai fruit exports to FTA markets up 107 percent

China, Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, the Philippines, Hong Kong, Australia and Chile are top importers of Thai fruits, especially fresh durian, mangosteen, longan and mango. Thai exporters are able to benefit from FTA privileges.

National News Bureau of Thailand

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BANGKOK (NNT) – Thailand’s fruit exports continue to increase, despite the sluggish global economy caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, with key trade partners being countries that have free trade agreements (FTAs) with the kingdom.

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