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World Bank sees Thai GDP growing 4.5%

The World Bank projects the Thai economy to grow 4.5 per cent this year, recovering from 0.1 per cent growth last year when the country’s economy was impacted by Japan’s tsunami, devastating floods and the eurozone debt crisis.

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The World Bank projects the Thai economy to grow 4.5 per cent this year, recovering from 0.1 per cent growth last year when the country’s economy was impacted by Japan’s tsunami, devastating floods and the eurozone debt crisis.

Kirida Bhaopichitr, the World Bank senior economist for Thailand, said that Thailand’s Bt1.5 trillion post-flood rehabilitation projects are likely to support this year’s economic growth by 1.5 per cent. However, several risks remain, particularly the eurozone debt crisis, which directly impacts Thailand’s export sector.

Thai exports this year are projected to grow 12 per cent while exports to Europe shrank 16.3 per cent due to falling demand in the first quarter. Computer parts and electric appliances were most affected.  Low European demand for electric appliances is likely to persist until the second half of this year.

Industrial estates hit by floods last year are expected to be fully recovered at the end of the second quarter this year, with delays of production for export seen in drops of the industrial Manufacturing Production Index MPI in January and February at 15 per cent and 3.4 per cent respectively. In its latest Thailand Economic Monitor, the bank urged the Thai government to rethink its populist policies costing the state coffers a large amount of money without substantially increasing economic productivity.

The policies are such as the Bt300 billion rice mortgage scheme and the reduction of corporate income and oil excise taxes, causing the government to lose Bt52 billion and Bt9 billion in revenue respectively. The bank also said the one-child one-tablet computer project is causing a government loss of Bt1.8 billion These projects as well as others under the populist policies may contribute to an overall loss of government revenue equivalent to 1.5 per cent of 2012 GDP, and its spending could account for three per cent of GDP.

via World Bank projects 2012 Thai GDP to grow 4.5%.

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Economics

Thailand’s Ministry of Finance expects 3.5 to 4.5% economic growth in 2022

For next year, the Ministry of Finance is projecting an economic growth of 3.5-4.5% from effective pandemic control measures, incentives, domestic spending, the export sector, private investment support, global economic recovery, and government expenditures.

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The Minister of Finance says Thailand’s economy this year would see only a 1.1-1.2% growth

BANGKOK (NNT) – The Ministry of Finance is now projecting an economic rebound to 4.5% growth next year, with government investments serving as key drivers. The Minister of Finance says the government will focus more on inclusive growth next year, with no sectors left behind.

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Ecommerce

Pakorn Peetathawatchai, President, The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET)

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Pakorn Peetathawatchai, President, The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET)

What measures has SET taken to support listed companies’ compliance with ESG standards?
PAKORN PEETATHAWATCHAI:

PAKORN: When we first began promoting ESG-compliant investments, we were met with little interest. We attributed this to a lack of clear data to showcase the economic benefits of ESG investment, and perhaps limited clarity as to what constitutes a sustainable or ESG-compliant investment. The launch of the THSI list and, subsequently, the SETTHSI Index, was designed to address this. Our most recent data, comparing returns for the SETTHSI Index with the broader SET and SET100 indices from April 2020 to April 2021, underscores the economic benefits of these investments: the group compliant with ESG standards outperformed the other two indices on every data point. 

As of May 2021 Thailand was home to CG and ESG assets under management totalling BT54.8bn ($1.7bn) across 50 funds – up from 23 funds in 2019. Meanwhile, of the BT187.1bn ($5.9bn) raised in green, social and sustainability bonds since 2018, BT136.4bn ($4.3bn) was raised in 2020 – 83% from the government and the remainder from development banks and private players. This rising demand, in a move to manage risk and generate returns, has been complemented by growing supply and promotion: supply from ESG-compliant businesses aiming for resiliency and sustainable growth, as well as promotion from regulators highlighting investment opportunities with good CG and SD practices. Indeed, the pandemic has been a catalyst in shifting the view of ESG compliance from a luxury to a requirement in the new normal.

In what ways can enhanced standard-setting and regulatory mechanisms overcome the remaining barriers to improved ESG performance?

PAKORN: A multi-stakeholder approach is crucial for enhanced ESG performance – not only in Thailand, but around much of the globe. This can also help to address the standout incumbent challenge: access to reliable, wide-ranging ESG data. For example, the 2020 update to the 56-1 One Report established clear ESG standards and triggered online and offline capacity-building programmes to support listed firms’ compliance. SET is developing an ESG data platform with a structured template to promote the availability of comparable data, maximise value added from corporate sustainability disclosures, and foster collaboration between the business value chain and stakeholders. This is expected to support Thai companies along their ESG journey in an economically sustainable way, result in a greater number of sustainability-focused products and services, drive sustainable investing in the Thai investment community and ultimately “make the capital market work for everyone”, as outlined in the SET’s vision.
 

 

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