Economics
Prospects Daily: Euro Area slips into recession in third quarter
Global equities fell for a seventh day, with the benchmark MSCI world stock index sliding 2%, hurt by mounting concerns over the U.S. fiscal crisis and reports that the Euro-area economy entered its second recession since 2009. World stocks have lost more than 3% this month.
Financial Markets…Global equities fell for a seventh day, with the benchmark MSCI world stock index sliding 2%, hurt by mounting concerns over the U.S. fiscal crisis and reports that the Euro-area economy entered its second recession since 2009. World stocks have lost more than 3% this month.
The Japanese yen weakened 1.4% to 81.39 per dollar, after reaching a nearly 6-month low of 81.46, amid prospects of further aggressive monetary easing following a contraction in third quarter GDP. The yen also fell 1.7% to 103.92 per euro, the lowest in almost two weeks.
Oil prices rose on Thursday, with crude for December delivery rising as much as 51 cents to $86.83 a barrel in New York trading, as Israel’s attack on the Gaza Strip intensified concern that escalating Middle East unrest would disrupt oil supplies. Brent for December settlement also jumped to $111 a barrel in London trading.
Namibia issued a 850 million rand ($95 million) 10-year bond at an average yield of 105 basis points higher than comparable benchmark South African bonds. It was Namibia’s first bond issue denominated in the South African currency. The country announced plans to sell an additional 2.15 billion in rand bonds in the future.
High-income Economies…Euro Area GDP contracted 0.1% (q/q) in the third quarter of 2012, following a 0.2% decline in the second quarter, as the currency union’s economic performance continues to suffer from the ongoing debt crisis and fiscal austerity. The two consecutive quarterly GDP declines imply a technical recession (the second one since 2009). On a year-on-year basis, Euro Area output fell at a slower pace of 0.4% (y/y) in Q3 compared to a 0.6% (y/y) drop in Q2.
Positive quarterly GDP increases in the third quarter in the two largest Eurozone economies, Germany (+0.2% q/q in Q3 vs. +0.3% in Q2) and France (+0.2% in Q3 vs. -0.1% in Q2), were partially offset by GDP declines in Spain (-0.3% in Q3 vs. -0.4% in Q2), Italy (-0.2% in Q3 vs. -0.7% in Q2), the Netherlands (-1.1% in Q3 vs. +0.1% in Q2), and Portugal (-0.8% vs. -1.1%); earlier data showed Greece’s output contracted at a faster pace of 7.2% (y/y) in Q3 compared to a 6.3% (y/y) decline in Q2.
Economics
Asia’s slow rate of vaccination is a thorn in the region’s economic recovery
Southeast Asia has been hit badly. Daily infections for Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam are at their worst, on a seven-day moving average. The Philippines and Malaysia are not far off their daily infection peaks reached in the second quarter of 2021.
Last week was tough for the Asia-Pacific region. Many countries responded to stubbornly elevated daily infections by extending or tightening social distancing measures.
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Economics
World Bank lowers Thai GDP growth outlook to 2.2%
In the Thailand Economic Monitor released today, the World Bank adjusted its outlook on Thailand’s economic growth this year to just 2.2% from its previous forecast of 3.4%.
BANGKOK, July 15, 2021 – Thailand’s economy continues to take a heavy toll due to the COVID-19 pandemic and is projected to expand modestly at 2.2 percent in 2021, revised down from the 3.4 percent growth projected in March, according to the World Bank’s latest Thailand Economic Monitor “The Road to Recovery” published today.
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