Despite a less favorable external environment, the growth outlook for developing East Asia and Pacific (EAP) remains positive, according to the latest World Bank economic report on the region.
Growth in developing EAP is expected to be 6.3 percent in 2018, lower than in 2017 due to the continued moderation in China’s growth as its economy continues to rebalance.
Navigating Uncertainty, the October 2018 edition of the World Bank East Asia and Pacific Economic Update, underscores however that in recent months a combination of trade tensions, higher US interest rates, a stronger US dollar, and financial market volatility in many emerging economies has increased the uncertainty around the region’s growth outlook.
At the same time, inflation has begun to rise across the region, particularly in Myanmar, the Philippines, and Vietnam.
“Robust growth has been and will continue to be the key to reducing poverty and vulnerability in the region,”
said Victoria Kwakwa, World Bank Vice President for East Asia and the Pacific.
“Protectionism and turbulence in financial markets can hurt the prospects for medium-term growth, with the most adverse consequences for the poorest and most vulnerable. This is a time for policy makers across the region to remain vigilant and proactively enhance their countries’ preparedness and resilience.”
China is expected to slow moderately to 6.5 percent in 2018, after growing faster than anticipated in 2017. Growth in developing EAP, excluding China, is expected to remain stable at 5.3 percent from 2018 to 2020, driven primarily by domestic demand. In Thailand and Vietnam, growth is expected to be robust in 2018 before slowing in 2019 and 2020 as stronger domestic demand only partially offsets the moderation in net export growth.
“The regional and global integration of most economies in the region intensifies their vulnerability to external shocks. The main risks to continued robust growth include an escalation in protectionism, heightened financial market turbulence, and their interaction with domestic fiscal and financial vulnerabilities,”
said Sudhir Shetty, World Bank Chief Economist for the East Asia and Pacific region. “In this context of rising risks, developing EAP economies need to utilize the full range of available macroeconomic, prudential, and structural policies to smooth external shocks and raise potential growth rates,” he added.
Thai farmers income on the rise
According to latest Agriculture Ministry’s survey, Thai farmers earned more income this year, as the output of rice, para rubber, fruit and corn has substantially increased.
Bangkok, 20 June 2019 (NNT) – Last year, Thai farmers earned more income and enjoyed better quality produce, thanks to the government’s marketing drive. This year, the output of rice, para rubber, fruit and corn has substantially increased.(more…)
Aging society and skill shortage key issues in Thailand’s economy
According to Moody’s latest Research Announcement, Thailand will sustain fiscal and external strength regardless of political developments; but structural challenges persist.
Thai vehicle production shrinks 6.11% YoY in May
Thai vehicle production in May 2019 was 181,338 units, which is 6.11 percent lower than the previous year due to declines in both domestic and international markets.
BANGKOK, 14 June 2019 (NNT) – The Thai vehicle production yield in May 2019 was lower by 6.11 percent year-on-year due to implications from both domestic and international markets, says Federation of Thai Industries.(more…)
Subscribe via Email
True Digital Park opens Work Space to ignite future Thai unicorns
Under the concept of ‘One Roof, All Possibilities’, True Digital Park is now ready to ignite startup unicorns and support...
Get vital compliance education in Bangkok this July
Join other professionals for a one-day compliance and ethics conference close to home in Bangkok, 12 July, 2019.
SET signs MoU with Shenzhen bourse to strengthen Thailand-China capital market
The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE)