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Economics

FPO expects 4% economic growth in 2019

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The Fiscal Policy Office reports that last year’s economic growth could hit the 4.1% mark, expecting the Thai GDP to expand at a rate of 4% this year.

The FPO earlier predicted the economy would expand 4.5% last year, but export contraction in the final two months, in part because of the trade war, tempered growth.

Estimating last year’s economic figures ahead of an official announcement, Director of the Fiscal Policy Office (FPO), Lawaron Sangsanit, said that Thailand’s 2018 GDP growth would be around 4.1%.

The growth is to be driven by domestic consumption, private expenditure, and government’s economic stimuli such as the social welfare card scheme and infrastructure investment, both of which helped trigger spending among private companies.

In December, the Bank of Thailand trimmed economic growth forecasts for 2018 to 4.2% from 4.4% predicted earlier, and for 2019 to 4% from 4.2%.

The FPO director projected this year’s GDP to rise 4%, citing public spending, public-private partnership projects, the development of basic infrastructure, and the general election as the main reasons.

Despite the optimism, there remain some risk factors such as the global economic slowdown, the trade dispute between China and the US, currency fluctuations, and the global stock market

Economics

Asia’s slow rate of vaccination is a thorn in the region’s economic recovery

Southeast Asia has been hit badly. Daily infections for Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam are at their worst, on a seven-day moving average. The Philippines and Malaysia are not far off their daily infection peaks reached in the second quarter of 2021.

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Last week was tough for the Asia-Pacific region. Many countries responded to stubbornly elevated daily infections by extending or tightening social distancing measures.

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Economics

World Bank lowers Thai GDP growth outlook to 2.2%

In the Thailand Economic Monitor released today, the World Bank adjusted its outlook on Thailand’s economic growth this year to just 2.2% from its previous forecast of 3.4%.

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BANGKOK, July 15, 2021 – Thailand’s economy continues to take a heavy toll due to the COVID-19 pandemic and is projected to expand modestly at 2.2 percent in 2021, revised down from the 3.4 percent growth projected in March, according to the World Bank’s latest Thailand Economic Monitor “The Road to Recovery” published today.

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