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EXIM Bank forecasts Thai exports growth as high as 4 per cent in 2021

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EXIM Thailand President said that the Bank has forecasted Thai export growth of as high as 4%
in 2021 attributable to a short-term recovery of global trade and economy from a low base of -10%.

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Such growth may not be so high as that in 2019 and tends to slow down in the current context and amid the increasing international restrictions.

Coupled with the opportunities for Thai export to new frontiers less affected by the COVID-19, Thai economy tends to recover faster than several countries around the world.

According to IMF, of 195 countries/territories, 60 countries/territories or only around 1/3 of all those countries/territories will record 2021 GDP higher than or equal to that in 2019.

This has reflected the tendency of these countries’ consumer behavior and demand for import of goods to return to normalcy.

Among those countries/territories, nine are top 20 export markets of Thailand which are China, Malaysia, Indonesia, CLMV (Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar and Vietnam), South Korea and Taiwan.

Major export goods from Thailand to these markets comprise such industrial products as plastic resin, refined oil, chemicals, cosmetics, soap and skin care products, and such agricultural and processed agricultural goods as fresh fruits, rubber, sugar, tapioca products and beverages.

The latest statistics of Thai export in September 2020 showed a contraction of only 3.9%, the lowest contraction in 5 months. Thai export in the first 9 months of 2020 contracted by 7.3%, lower than those of several peer countries like Japan, South Korea, Singapore and India.

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Economics

Thailand’s economic outlook for 2021

The government expects inbound tourism to be at around 8 million by the second half of 2021, well below 40 million in 2019

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The Thai economy will grow next year after contracting by almost 10% this year. Next year, the Thai economy is expected to expand 3 to 4% from this year. It will not be until the end of 2022 before the Thai economy returns to its pre-Covid level of 2019.

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Economics

Finance Ministry Considers Additional Incentives to Increase NSF Members

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BANGKOK (NNT) – The Finance Ministry is considering additional incentives to increase members in the National Savings Fund (NSF) as Thailand is projected to become a “super ageing society” by 2031.

Finance Minister Arkhom Termpittayapaisith said increasing state contributions to the NSF and extending the maximum membership age to 65 years old from 60 as stipulated by law are among the considerations.

He said Thailand is projected to become a fully aged society this year, meaning 20% of the total population is 60 or older. The country is projected to be a super ageing society by 2031, meaning 28% of the total population is 65 or older.

Mr Arkhom said retirement savings are vital because 20 million informal workers in Thailand are without mandatory savings programs.

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EEC Expects 300-billion-baht Investment This Year

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BANGKOK (NNT) – Thailand expects investment to triple to at least 300 billion baht in the Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC) this year as investment projects previously held by the coronavirus outbreak get pushed forward again as the pandemic eases.

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