# Alaamry Global Capital Annual Shareholder Letter 2025

- Link: https://www.thailand-business-news.com/investment/291551-alaamry-global-capital-annual-shareholder-letter-2025
- Published: 2026-03-03T16:18:24+07:00
- Author: PR Desk

As we reflect on 2025, it is hard to ignore the constant drumbeat of negative headlines:
elevated geopolitical tensions, ongoing conflicts, trade frictions, and a broader
shift toward de-globalisation. Yet, despite this backdrop of uncertainty, global
equity markets once again delivered strong returns—another reminder that markets
often advance not in the absence of risk, but in spite of it.

## Market backdrop and performance

##### **Table 1.**

### 2025 market and fund returns.

![Markets and fund returns](https://r2.thailand-business-news.com/wp-content/uploads/
2026/03/image-1.png)

As the old Wall Street adage goes, the market climbs a wall of worry. In 2025, investors
had no shortage of reasons to worry—wars, tariffs, interest-rate concerns, and an
uncertain macro outlook—yet markets moved higher as businesses continued to grow
revenues, earnings, and cash flows.

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## China, concentration, and where the real opportunity was

In last year’s annual letter, we laid out a clear, contrarian thesis. We tilted 
our allocation decisively toward China at a time when the consensus was widely viewed
as unattractive by the market. In 2024, we placed approximately 86.0% of the portfolio
in Chinese equities. That positioning proved well justified in 2025, as the MSCI
China Index delivered a total return of 31.4%—its strongest year in nearly a decade—
and significantly outperformed the S&P 500 total return of 17.9%.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 itself became even more concentrated. Index levels of concentration
reached extremes not seen since the 2000 internet bubble and the roaring 1920s, 
with the so-called “Magnificent Seven” accounting for roughly 34.0% of the index
and contributing about 42.0% of total returns, driven largely by strong investor
enthusiasm and momentum around AI-related themes. Excluding the Mag 7, the S&P 500
would have delivered a return closer to 10.0%, roughly in line with the S&P 500 
Equal-Weighted Index at 11.0% and Vanguard’s Total US Stock Market Index at around
11.0%.

##### **Figure 1.**

### Rising impact of the largest 7 U.S. stocks on index returns (1999–2025).

![sp500](https://r2.thailand-business-news.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/sp500.
png)

##### **Figure 2.**

### fiop-7 stock concentration in U.S. market (1920–2025).

#### Current levels approach 1929 peak, surpassing dot-com era.

![](https://impactwealth.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot-2026-02-17-030312.
png)

In a year when many active US-focused managers struggled to beat a Mag-7-driven 
benchmark, we delivered a gross return of about 26.3% while deliberately avoiding
the US AI bubble and lofty valuations. We stayed anchored to our principles: buying
high-quality companies at great valuations. As a result, we outperformed the S&P
500’s 17.9% and the MSCI ACWI Index’s 22.9%. This reinforces an important lesson:
earning excellent returns is not about chasing whatever is fashionable; it is about
owning great businesses at sensible prices.

## China vs. the Magnificent Seven: who really delivered?

In last year’s letter, we compared a basket of leading Chinese large caps to the
celebrated US Magnificent Seven and argued that price and sentiment were pointing
in opposite directions. In 2025, that thesis played out in real time. On average,
our China basket—Alibaba, BYD, Tencent, Baidu, PDD, and JD.com—returned roughly 
30.0%, while the US Magnificent Seven as a group delivered about 22.0%.

Few would have expected the supposedly “uninvestable” Chinese names to outpace their
highly praised US counterparts, especially in a year when the Mag 7 enjoyed an AI-
driven momentum tailwind and investors were convinced they would “change the world.”

##### **Figure 3.**

#### 2025 returns: AGV China tech basket vs. Magnificent Seven (total return, %).

##### AGV China Tech basket outperformed by 8 percentage points.

![](https://impactwealth.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot-2026-02-17-031905.
png)

As the late Charlie Munger put it, the job is to fish where the fish are. For us,
that means using our global mandate to go wherever the real opportunities lie—China,
the US, or elsewhere—rather than hugging a single index simply because it feels 
familiar or popular with the crowd.

## Looking through the lens of a holding company

We view the fund as a holding company. When we buy a stock, we think of it as owning
a slice of a real business—its revenues, earnings, and cash flows—rather than just
a ticker on a screen. To make this concrete, we aggregate the underlying fundamentals
of every share we own and translate them into revenue, earnings, and free cash flow
per fund unit. This approach allows us to judge our performance the way an owner
would: through fundamental growth, profitability, portfolio quality, and valuation.

In 2025, our portfolio companies grew revenues by about 30.1% and earnings by 31.0%
in US-dollar terms. In the local currencies in which they report, revenues grew 
25.6% and earnings 26.6%, with the difference largely driven by dollar weakness 
and FX translation effects.

##### **Table 2.**

#### Revenue and earnings growth comparison (YoY).

![](https://impactwealth.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot-2026-02-17-031828.
png)

Source: Morningstar, MSCI & Vanguard                                  YoY refers
to year-on year comparisons.

As you will see in the growth tables in the report, our companies delivered outstanding
growth—substantially higher than the major indices we consider relevant benchmarks.
Our roughly 26.3% gross fund performance for the year came almost entirely from 
this earnings growth. We did not benefit from multiple expansion; returns were driven
by fundamentals, not rising valuations.

## Valuation: strong returns without paying up

This lack of multiple expansion is visible when we compare our portfolio’s valuation
today with last year’s. Despite the strong performance, our portfolio remains cheaper
than, or broadly in line with, last year’s levels on most valuation metrics, and
continues to trade at a meaningful discount based on our assessment of underlying
fundamentals.

##### **Table 3.**

#### Valuation multiples

![image](https://r2.thailand-business-news.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/image-
2.png)

When we set these valuations against those of major indices, the contrast becomes
even clearer: our holdings trade at a substantial discount to global indices on 
earnings, sales, and free-cash-flow measures, while offering higher dividend yield
and stronger underlying growth. That combination—better businesses at lower prices—
is exactly what we look for.

##### **Table 4.**

![](https://impactwealth.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot-2026-02-17-031609.
png)

## Portfolio quality: returns on capital and profitability

Valuation is only half the equation; quality matters just as much. In 2025 we improved
the quality of the portfolio meaningfully. Our return on equity rose from around
17.8% to over 22.3%, and our return on capital employed increased from roughly 17.0%
to just over 20.0%. Internal reinvestment ROIC also improved, showing that incremental
capital is being deployed at very attractive rates of return.

##### **Table 5.**

#### Portfolio quality metrics.

![](https://impactwealth.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot-2026-02-17-031432.
png)

When we compare these metrics to the major indices, the gap is evident. Across Return
on Equity, Return on Capital Employed, and Return on Invested Capital, our portfolio
companies earn meaningfully higher returns on capital than the broad indices, highlighting
both superior business quality and better capital allocation.

##### **Table 6.**

#### Profitability comparison.

![](https://impactwealth.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot-2026-02-17-031329.
png)

## Geographic allocation: China still leads, diversification expanded

Our current geographic exposure compared with last year reflects both conviction
and select diversification. We reduced our China exposure from the mid-80s to the
high-70s and introduced two new regions—Denmark and Brazil—where we found exceptional
businesses that meet our criteria. The US allocation also increased modestly as 
select opportunities emerged at reasonable valuations. We remain willing to go wherever
the risk-reward profile is most attractive, rather than sticking to any home-market
bias. The table & chart below summarizes our geographic allocation at year-end.

##### **Figure 4.**

![](https://impactwealth.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot-2026-02-17-032354.
png)

##### **Table 7**

#### Geographic allocation

![](https://impactwealth.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot-2026-02-17-030500.
png)

In addition to geography, we also manage diversification by business model and sector.
The chart below shows our sector allocation as of year-end and comparison of last
year, highlighting where we are finding the most compelling opportunities today.

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##### **Figure 5.**

#### Sector allocation – year-on-year comparison (% of portfolio).

##### TTM = trailing twelve months

![](https://impactwealth.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot-2026-02-17-030544.
png)

## Putting it all together

We approach public markets with the mindset of business owners. Investing, to us,
is akin to owning a family business: you focus on the long term, the durability 
of the model, the integrity and alignment of management, and the price you are paying
relative to intrinsic value.

##### **Our strategy is simple but demanding in practice:**

 * Own high–quality companies with durable competitive advantages.
 * Partner with management teams whose incentives are aligned with shareholders.
 * Pay prices that build in a margin of safety.
 * Look globally, not locally, for the best mix of quality and value.

In 2025, our companies grew earnings by more than 30.0%, trade at valuations that
remain well below global market averages, and exhibit higher returns on capital 
than the indices. This combination drove approximately 26.3% growth in the fund,
allowing us to outperform the benchmarks while still leaving what we estimate to
be roughly 30% undervaluation in the portfolio. If valuation gaps were to narrow
and our holdings were to move closer to assessed fair value, this would imply meaningful
upside potential, before considering any additional fundamental growth.

On top of this, our portfolio offers an estimated total shareholder yield of about
4.8%, combining a 2.9% dividend yield with 1.9% buyback yield. Even without assuming
incremental growth, a convergence toward fair value would, in such a scenario, represent
a material contributor to forward returns over time.

We are very optimistic about our holdings. We believe the companies we own are high
quality, attractively valued, and well diversified by business model and geography.
We also believe deeply in alignment: we invest alongside you in the fund, and I 
have personally increased my investment, reflecting my conviction in the opportunity
ahead.

We hope this report gives you the clarity we would want if the roles were reversed
and we were in your seat as shareholders. As always, thank you for your trust.

Kind Regards,

Khalid Saud Alaamry

[info@alaamira.com](https://impactwealth.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Annual-Shareholder-Letter-2025_English.pdf)

**For more details on the reflections shared in this note, please **ask us for our**
Annual Shareholder Letter** for 2025** by clicking **[here](https://drive.google.com/file/d/1FrK-QoPS-Jd1qcLnK5-FShYDgrBHOFfq/view?usp=drive_link)**.**