# Thai Stock Market Faces Pressure as Prolonged Sell-off Leaves SET Near 4-Year Low

- Link: https://www.thailand-business-news.com/markets/196833-thai-stock-market-faces-pressure-as-prolonged-sell-off-leaves-set-near-4-year-low
- Published: 2025-02-26T07:43:00+07:00
- Author: Olivier Languepin

The Thai stock market, specifically the SET index, experienced a sell-off this week,
reaching its lowest point since November 2020 due to significant drops in heavyweight
stocks like Delta Electronics and Airports of Thailand (AOT). KKPS warns of challenges
ahead for the Thai stock market due to weak performance forecasts, despite strong
banking results. Electronics and transport sectors drag earnings.

## Key Points

 * The SET index in Thailand dropped to its lowest point since November 2020 due
   to a sell-off in heavyweight stocks like Delta Electronics and Airports of Thailand(
   AOT), which were impacted by weaker-than-expected results and concerns about 
   liquidity, respectively.
 * The upcoming week will see the last of the fourth-quarter 2024 earnings announcements,
   with major stocks that could sway the overall index including CPALL, CPF, KCE,
   HANA, BDMS, OSP, SAWAD, BEM, AWC, BGRIM, AMATA, and CPN.
 * Thailand’s economic growth in 2024 fell short of expectations at 2.5%, with private
   consumption and investment also underperforming, leading to expectations of a
   slowdown in GDP growth this year to 2.4% amid global trade uncertainties, high
   household debt, and an influx of cheap goods from China.

The Thai stock market, specifically the SET index, experienced a sell-off this week,
reaching its lowest point since November 2020 due to significant drops in heavyweight
stocks like Delta Electronics and Airports of Thailand (AOT). Delta’s fall was due
to weaker-than-expected results and potential legal expenses, while AOT was affected
by concerns about its main duty-free contractor, King Power.

ADVERTISEMENT

The upcoming week will see the last of the fourth-quarter 2024 earnings announcements,
with major stocks like CPALL, CPF, and KCE potentially impacting the overall index.**
The SET is expected to trade within 1,240 to 1,280 points in the short term. **Global
events, such as US-China relations and the meeting between President Xi Jinping 
and Chinese tech firm leaders, could also influence global stock volatility. Thailand’s
economic growth in 2024 was lower than expected, and it’s predicted to slow further
in 2024 due to factors like high household debt and an influx of cheap goods from
China. The MSCI rebalancing at the end of February will see changes in the index
composition, with stocks like PTTGC and TOP being moved to the MSCI Small Cap index.

## Thai Stock Market Challenges

Kiatkakin Phatra Securities (KKPS) further highlights that the Thai stock market’s
outlook remains fragile due to the heavy reliance on banking sector performance.
The robust 20% year-on-year growth in bank earnings has masked weaknesses in other
sectors, particularly electronics, where DELTA’s underperformance has significantly
dragged overall results. Analysts caution that such sectoral imbalances could lead
to heightened volatility, especially if banking momentum slows in the coming quarters.

### Related**Posts**

###  󠀁[Asian stocks retreat as oil rises above $100 and investors reassess global rate risks](https://www.thailand-business-news.com/markets/333019-asian-stocks-retreat-as-oil-rises-above-100-and-investors-reassess-global-rate-risks)󠁿

###  󠀁[Asian markets hold up despite bond rout as US yields enter a structurally higher regime](https://www.thailand-business-news.com/markets/332037-asian-markets-hold-up-despite-bond-rout-as-us-yields-enter-a-structurally-higher-regime)󠁿

###  󠀁[Local Influences and Return Chasing: Entering a New Era in Emerging Equity Markets](https://www.thailand-business-news.com/markets/329573-local-influences-and-return-chasing-entering-a-new-era-in-emerging-equity-markets)󠁿

###  󠀁[Thailand faces a fresh LNG squeeze as Hormuz crisis pushes prices toward US$28/MMBtu](https://www.thailand-business-news.com/markets/commodities/330458-thailand-faces-a-fresh-lng-squeeze-as-hormuz-crisis-pushes-prices-toward-us28-mmbtu)󠁿

Looking ahead, KKPS advises investors to adopt a cautious approach, focusing on 
sectors with resilient fundamentals and diversified revenue streams. The firm also
notes potential headwinds from global economic uncertainties, fluctuating commodity
prices, and geopolitical tensions, which could exacerbate challenges for export-
driven industries in Thailand. As a result, market participants are urged to closely
monitor macroeconomic indicators and corporate earnings updates to navigate the 
uncertain landscape effectively.

## Market Outlook and Strategic Recommendations

Analysts expect cautious future guidance due to fragile macroeconomic improvements.
Despite strong banking results, weaknesses in domestic demand and decreased tourism
numbers are concerning. KKPS anticipates earnings downgrades for 2025, recommending
a defensive strategy focusing on resilient sectors like banks and telecoms. Meanwhile,
electronics and food exporters remain vulnerable due to tariff impacts. The firm
highlights that due to macroeconomic factors, market valuations may be negatively
affected in the short to medium term.
