The conflict in the Middle East has significantly disrupted Thailand’s aviation sector, leading to the cancellation of over 1,000 flights and a downward revision of 2026 growth projections to a maximum of 3%.
According to Aeronautical Radio of Thailand Ltd (AEROTHAI), the combination of geopolitical instability, airspace closures, and surging fuel costs is straining air traffic management and increasing operating expenses for airlines, ultimately slowing the industry’s recovery and long-term expansion.
Key Points
- Over 1,000 flights operated by Middle Eastern airlines to Thailand have been cancelled since the conflict began on February 28, 2026, accounting for approximately 3% of total flight volumes.
- Suvarnabhumi Airport has been the most affected with over 600 cancellations, followed by Phuket Airport with 400, while Krabi, Chiang Mai, and Don Mueang have also experienced disruptions.
- The conflict is impacting critical flight corridors connecting Europe, the Middle East, and Asia, requiring AEROTHAI to monitor route changes and potential airspace closures closely.
- Rising global oil prices and an associated energy crisis have increased operating costs for airlines, leading to higher passenger fares.
Volatility in global oil prices has increased operational costs for airlines, leading to higher airfares and potentially weakening long-term passenger demand. Projected flight growth for 2026 has been adjusted downward to no more than 3% over 2025 levels due to the severity of the conflict and economic pressures.
