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Bankers urge gradual liberalisation to meet Thailand-European FTA

Bankers have called for the government to gradually liberalise the financial sector in order to ensure their competitiveness under the planned Thailand-European Union Free Trade Agreement (FTA).

Boris Sullivan

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Bankers have called for the government to gradually liberalise the financial sector in order to ensure their competitiveness under the planned Thailand-European Union Free Trade Agreement (FTA).

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Bankers urge gradual liberalisation

To develop Thailand as a regional financial center, the BOT has allowed qualified financial institutions operating the International Banking Facilities in Bangkok (BIBFs) since 1993 and in other provinces (PIBFs) since 1994. A licence for international banking facilities permits domestic commercial banks and foreign bank branches to provide the following activities: acceptance of deposits in foreign currencies, lending in foreign currencies to both residents (out-in lending) and non- residents (out-out lending), and foreign exchange transactions.

That is, mobilization of foreign savings to finance the country’s economic growth has become more flexible. In 1998, 10 Thai banks and 35 foreign bank branches were granted permission to establish BIBF offices and 23 foreign bank branches were allowed to get PIBF licences in other provinces.

Banks Bangkok Skytrain

Foreign financial institutions, particularly commercial banks, should be allowed to play more important role in the Thai financial sector. During the past three decades, the Thai monetary authorities were reluctant to encourage foreign participation in the market.

Since the financial liberalization, Thai commercial banks can engage in all kinds of banking activities. Recently, the scope of banking activities covers not only traditional banking activities but also providing information and financial consulting services as well as feasibility studies; operating as selling agent for debt instruments issued by the government or state enterprises as well as undertaking mutual fund management; arranging, underwriting and dealing in debt securities; operating as securities registrar and representative of secured debenture holder. Each commercial bank must receive permission from the BOT before undertaking these activities.

Commercial Banks in Thailand

Commercial banking is changing rapidly in Thailand. Banks are providing a greater array of services. They accept time savings, and demand deposits and they lend money through overdrafts, loans, bill discounts, and leasing. Activities also include fee-based services such as feasibility studies, loan syndication, consulting for mergers and acquisitions, and custodian services. In addition, banks may underwrite, issue, and trade debt instruments and issue negotiable certificates of deposit (time deposits with variable maturity).

Thai Banks

Thai banks are small compared to their European, American, and Japanese counterparts, although some are prominent by regional standards. Thailand’s leading bank, for instance, is also one of the top commercial banks in Southeast Asia.

A few of these prominent banks dominate the local market. In June 1993, the top three local banks controlled over half of the domestic market. Together, they accounted for about 54 percent of the deposits, tendings, and assets of domestic banks. They also operated large networks of branches in excess of 400 each.

Most Thai banks, regardless of size, are profitable. In 1992, the average Thai commercial bank earned US$50 million in net profits. The bulk of the revenues came from the spread between lending and borrowing rates. Because of protection, these spreads remained high, at times nearing five percentage points.

This is, however, changing. Recent reforms have increased competition between Thai commercial banks and other local and foreign financial institutions. Local banks must now rely less on interest income and more on fee-based services.

Public investment will expand only slightly next year as the Thai Kem Kaeng Program will just about compensate for the reduction in the government’s on-budget investment in 2010.

The medium-term outlook is sobering, with growth expected at 3.5 percent in 2010 and likely remaining below potential for the next three years. Because the Thai economy is largely dependent on final demand in advanced economies, a return to pre-crisis rates of economic growth (a full recovery vs. a rebound to pre-crisis levels) will require a combination of (a recovery of demand from advanced economies and a rebalancing of the sources of growth to reduce Thailand’s dependence on demand from advanced economies. Neither process is likely to be swift. Recovery from a financial crisis is a lengthy process that involves the rebuilding of balance sheets, and the IMF estimates that half of the losses in the financial system in advanced economies are yet to be recognized.

In general, Thai banks have suffered management problems in recent years and are having difficulty in complying with capital-adequacy and other requirements set by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). The baht currency crisis dealt a severe blow to the banking industry and has prompted a major restructuring of the banking industry. By mid-2000, nonperforming loans accounted for about a third of total lending, down from a peak of almost 48% mid-1999. Thai banks are being forced to accept big write-offs by selling non-performing loans for as little as 30% of the loan’s face value.

The Thai domestic banking system has been criticized for failing to mobilize adequate domestic savings and for not offering adequate incentives to savers. The International Monetary Fund reports that in 2001, currency and demand deposits—an aggregate commonly known as M1—were equal to $14.4 billion. In that same year, M2—an aggregate equal to M1 plus savings deposits, small time deposits, and money market mutual funds— was $119.3 billion. The money market rate, the rate at which financial institutions lend to one another in the short term, was 2%. The discount rate, the interest rate at which the central bank lends to financial institutions in the short term, was 3.75%.

Foreign financial institutions, particularly commercial banks, should be allowed to play more important role in the Thai financial sector. During the past three decades, the Thai monetary authorities were reluctant to encourage foreign participation in the market. There had been an implicit policy of the Bank of Thailand that protected Thai banks over foreign counterparts which had led to incompetence of Thai banks before the 1997 Financial Crisis. “Foreign penetration has had positive effects on Thailand on the sense that they promoted market competition and improved the operational efficiency of banking. In addition, foreign acquisition of Thai domestic banks introduced advanced skills and technology helping upgrade the business operations of banks (Okuda and Rungsomboon, 2006)”. Fortunately, one of the objectives of the Financial Sector Master Plan (FSMP) Phase II is to increase competition within the financial sector through offering greater foreign participation. It remains to be seen whether this will be materialized.

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ASEAN economies poised for robust recovery with 6% real GDP growth in 2021

The six largest ASEAN nations (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam) are expected to witness positive real GDP growth rates in 2021 according to Global Data

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Receding daily COVID-19 cases, rollout of vaccines, increased spending by the governments along with easing of monetary restrictions will help revive the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN*) economies in 2021 with their real GDP forecasted to rise by 6%, says GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company.

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Thailand new coronavirus cases -59- down to two digits

Of the new cases, 28 were exposed to the virus while visiting high-risk areas. The province with the highest number of infections is Bangkok (10), followed by Samut Sakhon (7).

Boris Sullivan

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Thailand confirmed 59 new coronavirus cases and one additional death on Wednesday, taking its total infections to 12,653 and fatalities to 71, the first day Covid infections are down to two digits since the beginning of the second Covid-19 outbreak in the country in December.

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Thailand switches to black and white for final farewell to late King

Many businesses across Thailand will come to a halt while others will make necessary adjustments to pay their last respects to the beloved late King Bhumibol Adulyadej.

Boris Sullivan

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Many businesses across Thailand will come to a halt while others will make necessary adjustments to pay their last respects to the beloved late King Bhumibol Adulyadej. (more…)

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