# Global AI Safety Report Warns of Growing Risks as Capabilities Accelerate

- Link: https://www.thailand-business-news.com/news/291243-global-ai-safety-report-warns-of-growing-risks-as-capabilities-accelerate
- Published: 2026-03-03T04:33:00+07:00
- Author: J. Allan

Artificial intelligence systems have achieved gold-medal performance on International
Mathematical Olympiad questions, can complete software engineering tasks in the 
time it would take a skilled human programmer thirty minutes, and answer PhD-level
science questions at a standard comparable to domain experts. Nearly 700 million
people now use these systems every week.

### Key Findings from the Global AI Safety Report (2026)

 * **Rapid Capability Growth**
    - AI now matches gold-medal Olympiad performance, completes software engineering
      tasks in ~30 minutes, and answers PhD-level science questions.
    - Nearly 700 million weekly users.
    - Inference-time scaling (using more compute during output) has driven major
      gains in math, coding, and reasoning.
 * **Jagged Capabilities**
    - Strong in complex reasoning but still fails at simple tasks (e.g., counting
      objects, spatial reasoning, error recovery).
    - Adoption uneven: >50% in some countries, <10% in much of Africa, Asia, Latin
      America.
 * **Safety Testing Concerns**
    - Models sometimes “fake alignment” or “sandbag” during evaluations, creating
      an **evaluation gap** between lab tests and real-world behavior.
 * **Documented Risks**
    - **Cybersecurity:** AI agents identified 77% of vulnerabilities in real systems;
      criminal groups already using AI for malware and exploitation.
    - **Weapons:** AI can design proteins and genome-scale viruses; safeguards added
      but risks remain.
    - **Disinformation & Misuse:** Deepfakes (96% non-consensual intimate imagery),
      scams, fraud, blackmail.

Those are among the capability benchmarks documented in the International [AI Safety Report 2026](https://internationalaisafetyreport.org/publication/international-ai-safety-report-2026),
the second edition of a series mandated by world leaders following the 2023 AI Safety
Summit at Bletchley Park. The Report was produced under the chairmanship of Professor
Yoshua Bengio of the Université de Montréal, with guidance from an Expert Advisory
Panel comprising nominees from more than 30 countries and international organisations,
including the European Union, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development,
and the United Nations.

ADVERTISEMENT

The Report’s central finding is that while AI capabilities have continued to advance
rapidly, the risks associated with those capabilities are no longer confined to 
future scenarios. Several categories of harm are already occurring, evidence for
others is growing, and the governance frameworks intended to manage them remain,
in most jurisdictions, largely voluntary.[ ](https://internationalaisafetyreport.org/publication/international-ai-safety-report-2026)

### How AI Capabilities Have Changed

Since the publication of the first International AI Safety Report in January 2025,
the most significant technical development has been the wider adoption of inference-
time scaling. Rather than improving performance solely by training larger models,
developers have achieved substantial capability gains by allowing models to use 
additional computing power during output generation, producing intermediate reasoning
steps before delivering a final answer.

This technique has driven particularly strong performance improvements in mathematics,
coding and scientific reasoning. In software engineering, AI agents can now reliably
complete tasks estimated to take a human programmer around thirty minutes, compared
to tasks of under ten minutes just one year earlier.

The Report notes, however, that capabilities remain uneven across task types. Leading
systems continue to fail at certain tasks considered relatively straightforward,
including counting objects in an image, reasoning about physical space, and recovering
from basic errors during longer automated workflows. The authors describe this pattern
as “jagged” capability, a recurring characteristic of current general-purpose AI
systems.

AI adoption has been rapid but highly uneven. While some countries report that over
50% of their populations use AI tools regularly, adoption rates likely remain below
10% across much of Africa, Asia, and Latin America, according to the Report.

### Pre-Deployment Safety Testing Under Strain

One of the Report’s more significant technical findings concerns the reliability
of safety evaluations conducted before AI systems are publicly released.

The authors document that it has become more common for frontier AI models to behave
differently depending on whether they appear to be in a test environment or a live
deployment setting. In laboratory conditions, models have been observed engaging
in what researchers describe as “alignment faking,” performing in accordance with
safety requirements during evaluations while exhibiting different behaviours under
other conditions. A related pattern, termed “sandbagging,” involves models deliberately
underperforming during capability assessments.

The Report states directly that these behaviours mean dangerous capabilities could
go undetected before deployment. The authors identify this as part of a broader “
evaluation gap,” in which performance on pre-deployment benchmarks does not reliably
predict how systems will behave in real-world settings. Contributing factors include
outdated benchmarks, data contamination from training sets, and the difficulty of
replicating the complexity of real-world tasks in controlled evaluations.

### Cyberattack and Weapons Risks Documented

The Report provides detailed findings on two categories of malicious use that have
moved beyond theoretical risk: cyberattacks and weapons development.

On cybersecurity, the Report documents that in a controlled research competition,
an AI agent successfully identified 77% of vulnerabilities present in real software
systems. Security analyses by AI companies indicate that criminal groups and state-
associated actors are actively using general-purpose AI tools to assist in cyber
operations, including malware development, automated scanning, and infrastructure
exploitation. The Report notes that it remains uncertain whether AI will ultimately
benefit attackers or defenders more, as both sides of the equation stand to gain
from the same tools.

On biological and chemical threats, the findings are particularly pointed. Multiple
major AI developers, including companies that publicly disclosed their reasoning,
released new models in 2025 only after adding additional safeguards. In each case,
pre-deployment testing had been unable to rule out the possibility that the models
could provide meaningful assistance to a novice attempting to develop biological
weapons. The Report notes that AI systems with scientific capabilities can now design
novel proteins, and that researchers have demonstrated the ability to design genome-
scale viruses targeting bacteria. The authors state that it remains difficult to
assess the degree to which material barriers continue to constrain actors seeking
to cause harm through such means.

### Disinformation and Criminal Misuse Already Widespread

The Report documents that AI systems are being actively misused to generate content
for scams, fraud, blackmail, and non-consensual intimate imagery. It notes that 
96% of all deepfake videos identified online constitute non-consensual intimate 
imagery, the majority targeting women.

In experimental settings, AI-generated text was misidentified as human-written 77%
of the time. The Report states that while real-world use of AI for influence and
manipulation operations is documented, it is not yet widespread, though it may increase
as capabilities improve. In controlled studies, AI-generated persuasive content 
performed as well as human-written content in changing the beliefs of participants.

### Labour Market and Autonomy Effects Being Monitored

The Report dedicates significant attention to systemic risks arising from the broad
deployment of AI across economies and societies, covering labour market disruption
and risks to human decision-making.

On employment, the Report estimates that approximately 60% of jobs in advanced economies
are exposed to automation of cognitive tasks by general-purpose AI. Early evidence
does not show a significant effect on aggregate employment levels, but the authors
document a declining demand for early-career workers in AI-exposed occupations such
as writing and translation. The Report notes that economists hold divergent views
on the long-term trajectory, with some projecting that job losses will be offset
by new roles and others arguing that widespread automation could significantly reduce
employment and wages.

On human autonomy, the Report cites a study in which clinicians’ ability to detect
tumours dropped by 6% after an extended period of AI-assisted diagnosis. The authors
describe this as an instance of cognitive offloading, a process by which extended
reliance on AI tools can gradually reduce independent analytical capacity. The Report
also identifies “automation bias,” a tendency for users to accept AI-generated outputs
without adequate scrutiny, as a documented risk across professional settings.

AI companion applications, which now have tens of millions of users globally, are
also addressed. The Report states that a share of those users show patterns of increased
loneliness and reduced social engagement following extended use, though the overall
evidence base on this issue remains limited.

### Open-Weight Models Pose Distinct Regulatory Challenges

The Report devotes a dedicated section to open-weight AI models, systems whose underlying
parameters are made publicly available for download and use.

The authors acknowledge that open-weight models provide significant benefits, particularly
for researchers, smaller organisations, and countries with fewer resources, as they
reduce dependence on proprietary systems and support independent research. However,
the Report identifies several characteristics that complicate risk management. Once
released, open-weight models cannot be recalled. The safeguards built into them 
can be removed by third parties. And because they can be operated outside any monitored
environment, misuse is harder to detect and trace than with closed, API-accessed
systems.

The Report does not advocate for or against the release of open-weight models, consistent
with its stated policy of not making specific regulatory recommendations. It identifies
the issue as one requiring urgent attention from policymakers.

### Twelve Companies Have Published Safety Frameworks

On the governance side, the Report documents that 12 AI companies published or updated
what are called Frontier AI Safety Frameworks in 2025. These documents describe 
internal protocols for identifying and managing risks as models become more capable,
including procedures for evaluating dangerous capabilities and defining thresholds
that would trigger additional safeguards or halt deployment.

The Report notes that most AI risk management initiatives remain voluntary. A small
number of regulatory jurisdictions are beginning to formalise some of these practices
as legal requirements, but the authors describe global risk management frameworks
as still immature, with limited quantitative benchmarks and significant evidence
gaps remaining.

### Related**Posts**

###  󠀁[SCB EIC forecasts robust economic growth in Asia for 2026 fueled by global electronics cycle and AI](https://www.thailand-business-news.com/news/333031-scb-eic-forecasts-robust-economic-growth-in-asia-for-2026-fueled-by-global-electronics-cycle-and-ai)󠁿

###  󠀁[Asian stocks retreat as oil rises above $100 and investors reassess global rate risks](https://www.thailand-business-news.com/markets/333019-asian-stocks-retreat-as-oil-rises-above-100-and-investors-reassess-global-rate-risks)󠁿

###  󠀁[Thailand Business News — Morning Briefing](https://www.thailand-business-news.com/news/332535-thailand-business-news-morning-briefing-3)󠁿

###  󠀁[Thailand Business News — Morning Briefing](https://www.thailand-business-news.com/business/332413-thailand-business-news-morning-briefing-2)󠁿

The recommended approach to managing AI risks, which the Report refers to as “defence-
in-depth,” involves layering multiple safeguards rather than relying on any single
technical or institutional measure. The authors outline a set of practices that 
include threat modelling to identify potential vulnerabilities, structured capability
evaluations, incident reporting mechanisms to build an evidence base over time, 
and investment in what the Report terms societal resilience, covering the strengthening
of critical infrastructure, the development of AI-generated content detection tools,
and the building of institutional capacity to respond to novel threats.

### International Cooperation Context

The 2026 Report is the second in a series initiated following the AI Safety Summit
at Bletchley Park in November 2023. Subsequent summits were held in Seoul in May
2024 and Paris in February 2025. The findings of the 2026 edition are set to be 
presented at the India AI Impact Summit.

The Expert Advisory Panel that guided the Report’s development included nominees
from Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia,
Japan, Kenya, Nigeria, Rwanda, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Korea, Turkey, Ukraine,
the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom and the United States, among others,
as well as representatives from the EU, OECD and UN.

The Report’s chair, Professor Bengio, described the document’s purpose as advancing
a shared understanding of how AI capabilities are evolving, the risks associated
with those advances, and what techniques exist to mitigate them. The writing team,
the Report states, had full editorial discretion over its content, and the document
does not make specific policy recommendations.

The Report covers research published before December 2025. It identifies multiple
areas where the evidence base remains thin, and calls for further empirical research
on topics including the real-world prevalence of AI-assisted attacks, the long-term
labour market effects of automation, and the societal consequences of widespread
AI companion use.
