# Thailand Business News — Morning Briefing

- Link: https://www.thailand-business-news.com/news/330047-thailand-business-news-morning-briefing
- Published: 2026-09-22T05:50:00+07:00
- Author: PR Desk

### Thailand & Asia | 22 September 2026

## Thailand considers oil-tax cut as energy shock puts pressure on consumers and businesses

Thailand is considering cutting taxes on oil products as the government looks for
additional ways to contain the impact of elevated global energy prices on households
and businesses. Finance Minister Ekniti Nitithanprapas confirmed Monday that an 
oil-tax reduction was under consideration, although the government has not yet announced
the size or timing of any cut.

### Key points

 * Finance Minister Ekniti says Thailand is **considering an oil-tax cut**, with
   details still to be determined.
 * Brent crude remained around **US$102.08/barrel** on Monday despite a 1.7% decline.
 * Thailand is simultaneously preparing a **residential rooftop-solar promotion 
   scheme** to reduce longer-term energy exposure.

The move comes as crude prices remain above **US$100 a barrel** amid continuing 
disruption around Middle Eastern energy infrastructure and the Strait of Hormuz.
Brent crude was around **US$102.08 a barrel** on Monday, although it had fallen 
1.7% as Saudi Arabia worked to restore some disrupted export capacity.

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Thailand is already using other measures to cushion consumers from the energy shock.
The government said domestic diesel at around **THB40.69 per litre** remained below
general market prices in Malaysia and Indonesia, although comparisons are complicated
by different subsidy arrangements and fuel-tax structures.

The pressure is particularly significant because Thailand is simultaneously trying
to maintain industrial competitiveness. Higher diesel prices feed directly into 
logistics, agriculture, manufacturing and tourism costs, while more expensive crude
and LNG increase the country’s import bill. Any tax reduction would therefore provide
near-term relief but also reduce government revenue at a time when Bangkok is seeking
fiscal room for economic stimulus and investment.

The latest proposal also reinforces the government’s broader push toward renewable
energy. The Interior Ministry is preparing a residential rooftop-solar promotion
scheme for consideration by the Finance Ministry, potentially giving households 
another way to reduce exposure to volatile fossil-fuel prices.

**Why it matters:** Fuel taxation has become a direct competitiveness issue rather
than simply a consumer-policy question. A tax cut could help protect purchasing 
power and corporate margins in the short term, but Thailand will need to balance
that relief against lost fiscal revenue and its longer-term goal of reducing dependence
on imported fossil fuels.

---

## Thailand overhauls factory data as electronics, EVs and semiconductors reshape manufacturing

Thailand is overhauling its **Manufacturing Production Index (MPI)** after economic
agencies concluded that the existing statistics no longer adequately represent the
country’s rapidly changing industrial structure. The revised index will give greater
weight to electronics and incorporate factories producing EVs, semiconductors, batteries
and AI-related components that have previously been underrepresented.

The overhaul has become strategically important because Thailand’s official production
data have increasingly diverged from its trade figures. Officials observed that 
export values were rising strongly in recent years while the MPI and capacity-utilisation
indicators showed comparatively weak growth. The discrepancy contributed to concerns
in the United States that Thailand could be functioning as a transshipment route
rather than producing goods domestically.

Thailand has therefore submitted new production data to Washington covering automotive
and parts, machinery and rubber products. The targeted survey indicates that these
sectors are operating at **75–90% capacity**, substantially above the older national
figures of below 60%. The new dataset covers major exporters representing an estimated**
80–90% of Thai companies selling to the US market**, according to Thai officials.

The statistical overhaul will also move the MPI’s base year from **2021 to 2024**,
with Thailand planning to move toward a chain-volume methodology similar to those
used by Malaysia and Singapore. The changes are expected to be completed in September,
with the revised data incorporated into economic analysis after the relevant committees
approve the methodology.

The issue has direct implications for Thailand’s trade negotiations with the United
States. Washington’s Section 301 investigation is examining structural excess capacity
among 16 trading partners, while Thailand is seeking to demonstrate that its manufacturing
exports reflect genuine domestic production. The quality of the underlying data 
could therefore influence perceptions of Thailand’s industrial competitiveness and
its argument for maintaining the previously discussed **19% tariff framework**.

**Key points**

 * Thailand will revise the MPI with greater weight for **electronics, semiconductors,
   EVs, batteries and AI-related components**.
 * New data show **75–90% capacity utilisation** in three sectors under US scrutiny,
   versus older figures below 60%.
 * The MPI base year will move from **2021 to 2024**, with a shift toward chain-
   volume measurement.

**Why it matters:** Reliable industrial statistics have become part of Thailand’s
trade diplomacy. A more accurate MPI could strengthen Bangkok’s case in US negotiations
while giving investors and policymakers a much clearer picture of where Thailand’s
manufacturing economy is actually growing.

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---

## Vietnam enters FTSE Russell emerging-market index as ASEAN competes for global capital

Vietnam’s stock market has formally moved from **frontier-market to emerging-market
status** in the FTSE Russell index system, marking a major milestone in the country’s
efforts to attract international institutional investment. FTSE Russell estimates
that the upgrade could ultimately bring as much as **US$6 billion of additional 
foreign capital** into Vietnamese equities.

The reclassification follows years of reforms aimed at improving market accessibility,
trading infrastructure and investor protections. For Vietnam, the upgrade is more
than a branding exercise: inclusion in a widely followed emerging-market benchmark
can encourage passive funds and active institutional investors to allocate capital
to Vietnamese stocks that previously sat outside many global portfolios.

The timing is particularly significant for ASEAN. Vietnam has become one of the 
region’s strongest destinations for manufacturing investment, benefiting from companies
diversifying production away from China and seeking alternative export bases. The
country is competing directly with Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia for electronics,
semiconductors, consumer manufacturing and supply-chain investment.

Thailand’s stock market has nonetheless performed strongly this year. A Reuters 
analysis published Sunday noted that Thai equities had gained around **26% by mid-
September**, compared with about **22% for Singapore**, while Indonesia and the 
Philippines substantially underperformed. Thailand’s rally has been supported by
foreign technology investment, EV activity, tourism and the relative attractiveness
of dividend-paying companies.

The Vietnamese upgrade could intensify competition for regional capital even as 
ASEAN markets increasingly diverge. Investors are becoming more selective within
Southeast Asia rather than treating ASEAN as a single macro trade. For Thailand,
maintaining investment momentum will depend increasingly on company-level opportunities,
infrastructure quality, energy security and access to high-growth technology supply
chains.

**Key points**

 * Vietnam officially entered **FTSE Russell’s emerging-market index** on September
   21.
 * FTSE Russell estimates the upgrade could attract up to **US$6bn** of additional
   investment.
 * Thailand’s equities had gained around **26% by mid-September**, highlighting 
   strong but increasingly selective ASEAN market performance.

**Why it matters:** Vietnam’s reclassification strengthens its position as a competitor
for global portfolio flows and foreign direct investment. Thailand still has significant
advantages, but the comparison reinforces the need to deepen its capital markets
and capture more of the electronics, EV and AI-related investment cycle.
