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Is Thailand Heading For a remake of 1997 Crash ?

Thailand is part of the overall emerging markets bubble that some have been warning about in recent years, along with Indonesia, Malaysia and other Southeast Asian countries.

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Thailand is part of the overall emerging markets bubble that some have been warning about in recent years, along with Indonesia, Malaysia and other Southeast Asian countries.

The emerging markets bubble started in 2009, when China launched a bold stimulus-driven economic growth strategy to counter the deleterious effects of the global financial crisis on its economy. China immediately scrambled to construct scores of new cities (many of which are still empty) and ambitious infrastructure projects for the sake of generating economic growth, which sparked a global raw materials boom that benefited commodities exporters such as emerging market nations and Australia.

Works in downtown Bangkok Sukhumvit district

Thailand is part of the overall emerging markets bubble that some have been warning about in recent years, along with Indonesia, Malaysia and other Southeast Asian countries.

 

Global investors soon began to pile into emerging market investments to diversify away from ailing Western nations in wake of the financial crisis.

Zero interest rates and hot money

Near-zero interest rates in the U.S., Europe and Japan, along with the U.S. Federal Reserve’s multi-trillion dollar quantitative easing stimulus programs encouraged $4 trillion worth of speculative capital to flow into emerging market investments since 2009.

Global investors entered carry trades in which they borrowed very cheaply from the U.S. and Japan, and invested the funds in high-yielding emerging market assets, while profiting from the interest rate differential or “spread.”

The sudden influx of “hot money” into emerging market investments helped to inflate a bond bubble, which pushed EM borrowing costs to all-time lows and enabled government-driven infrastructure booms, red-hot credit growth, and property bubbles across the entire emerging world.

via Thailand’s Bubble Economy Is Heading For A 1997-Style Crash – Forbes.

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Investment

Thailand’s H1 Investment Applications rise 158% in combined value, BOI says

Japanese firms ranked first with 87 projects worth 42.8 billion baht, followed by investments from the U.S. with 18 projects worth 24.1 billion baht, and China with 63 projects worth 18.6 billion baht.

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In the first six months of 2021, Thailand’s investment applications increased 14% from the year earlier period in terms of the number of projects, and 158% in combined value, led by increasing foreign direct investment (FDI) applications, sustained growth in target industries including the electronics and medical sectors, as well as in power generation, the Thailand Board of Investment (BOI) said.

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Business

Large Shopping Malls in Bangkok Will Be Closed until July 25th

Shopping malls under the Mall Group, including all branches of The Mall, the Emporium, Emquartier and Paragon Department Store, are also closed for 14 days, from today, except for supermarkets, food courts, pharmacy shops, eateries (take-out and delivery only), banks, mobile phone shops and vaccination sites.

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BANGKOK (NNT) – Large-scale shopping malls in Bangkok and in some dark-red zone provinces are now closed for two weeks, to comply with the latest COVID-19 curbs in 10 provinces.

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