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Is a Chinese sovereign debt default likely?

So far China has not experienced a major financial crisis, despite the many risks and inefficiencies in its financial markets.




Moody’s recent downgrading of China’s sovereign debt rating triggered waves of reaction in both financial markets and policy circles. But like many other rating adjustments it looks more like a lagging, rather than a leading, indicator of an existing risk factor. China does have a major debt problem. But given its recent policy action, China’s sovereign debt risks will in fact likely fall going forward, although debt risks in other areas might rise. One widely cited indicator Chi

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