As the North Korean nuclear threat looms ever larger, it has been suggested that Japan support the US and stabilize the region by obtaining nuclear weapons. But does it make sense for Japan to abandon a long-held pacifist stance and take this dramatic step? GRI asked AEI resident scholar Michael Rubin, diplomacy expert and author of Dancing with the Devil, to weigh in.
North Korea and the United States increasingly seem to be on a collision course. Almost 65 years since both countries signed an armistice pausing (though not technically ending) the Korean War, and more than two decades after both sides reached the Agreed Framework which was meant to resolve concerns over Pyongyang’s nuclear ambitions, tension is again on the rise. In recent months, North Korea has tested ballistic missiles that could potentially hit the United States, and it claims the ability to develop nuclear warheads small enough to fit on them. Every nuclear or missile test, even if failures, brings the hermit kingdom one step closer to the ability to make good on its rhetoric.
President Trump, meanwhile, has approached North Korea with bluster. He signaled both at his UN General Assembly speech and in tweets directed at his own Secretary of State that diplomacy with Pyongyang is a waste of time.
Some former diplomats and prominent officials disagree. State Department veterans Aaron David Miller and Richard Sokolsky took the Washington Post to argue that diplomacy can work with Pyongyang. Former Secretary of State George Schultz, former Secretary of Defense William Perry, headlined former senators and negotiators in a letter likewise seeking more diplomacy.
Diplomacy isn’t working
The problem is, however, that diplomacy with Pyongyang has a poor track-record. North Korea has systematically cheated or shredded every single agreement they have reached with the United States and its regional allies. As I argue in Dancing with the Devil, a history of a half-century of U.S. diplomacy with rogue regimes like North Korea, talking for the sake of talking can have a very high cost, especially when an adversary is insincere from…
Global Risk Insights is a world-leading publication for political risk news and analysis. Our global network of experts provides timely, insightful analysis on political events shaping business, economic, and investment climates in every corner of the world.
Pro-military party wins most votes in Thai election
Thai military party neck and neck with Pheu Thai opponent
Rights of ‘ordinary people’ in focus as 1 bln vote in Asia
A total of 52 million Thais aged 18 and above are eligible to vote, of whom 14 percent will do so for the first time.
BANGKOK (Thomson Reuters Foundation) – Rights over land and forests, a push for LGBT+ equality, and getting more women on the ballot are some top election issues in Thailand, India and Indonesia as more than 1 billion people prepare to go to the polls, including many first-time voters.(more…)
Thai Economy likely to miss the 3.5% growth target
Deputy Prime Minister Somkid Jatusripitak said the global economic slowdown hasweakened exports and reduced domestic consumption
Google shuts down Huawei’s access to Android updates after US blacklist
Holders of current Huawei smartphones with Google apps, however, will continue to be able to use and download app updates...
Drivers of Asia Pacific office space demand in 2019 remain strong
More employers plan to increase rather than decrease staffing levels in most Asia Pacific countries, with employers in Japan reporting...
First-home stimulus measure may have limited impact on Thailand’s housing market
The first-home buyers who make less than 25,000 baht per month however will not benefit from this scheme.
Real-time payments : An opportunity for the entire Asian financial ecosystem ?
Real-time payments (RTPs) are critical for bringing millions of people into the digital financial ecosystem, enabling the rise in the...
- Tech6 days ago
Thailand to use Biometrics scan to identify travellers
- Tourism2 weeks ago
Thailand extends free visa-on-arrival until 31 October 2019
- Business2 weeks ago
Political uncertainty weighs on Thailand’s consumer confidence
- Property1 week ago
Property slowdown looms over Thai market
- Business7 days ago
Thailand cooperates with Indonesia to push creative industries
- Corporate1 week ago
Challenges and opportunities await Thai businesses to reduce plastic use
- Corporate1 week ago
Flexible workspace key role in company’s success
- Real Estate6 days ago
Thai Property market : condo launches to slow to 61,000 – 64,000 units in 2019