# APAC Medical Cost Growth Projected to Slow to 9.7% in 2027, Aon Report

- Link: https://www.thailand-business-news.com/pr-news/apac-medical-cost-growth-projected-to-slow-to-9-7-in-2027-aon-report
- Published: 2026-10-12T10:15:00+07:00
- Author: Media OutReach

*  Medical cost growth is projected to slow for a second consecutive year, but 
   continue to significantly outpace general inflation
 *  Cardiovascular disease, ENT/lung disorder and cancer remain the leading drivers
   of medical claims
 *  Material opportunities to beat average trend for organisations applying design,
   operational and technological innovation

 SINGAPORE – [Media OutReach Newswire](https://www.media-outreach.com) – 12 October
2026 – [Aon plc](https://www.aon.com/) (NYSE: AON), a leading global professional
services firm, today released its [2027 Global Medical Trend Rates Report](https://www.aon.com/en/insights/reports/the-global-medical-trend-rates-report?_gl=1*1mxi2i4*_gcl_au*MjE1NTA4NTU3LjE3ODU5OTA1Mzc.*_ga*MjQwNjMwODk3LjE3ODU5OTA1Mzc.*_ga_S2CXP61BY4*czE3OTE3Njg3NDgkbzEwJGcxJHQxNzkxNzY4ODMyJGo2MCRsMCRoMA..),
which projects that medical costs in Asia Pacific will increase by 9.7% in 2027,
compared with 11.3% in 2026.

 The projected medical trend rate remains substantially above the forecast for APAC
general inflation rate of 2.5%. After accounting for inflation, the net medical 
trend rate is expected to decline from 8.9% in 2026 to 7.2% in 2027. Globally, the
medical trend rate for 2027 is projected to decrease from 9.8% in 2026 to 9.0% in
2027.

 “While medical trend growth is slowing, it remains more than three times the rate
of inflation,” said Tim Dwyer, Head, Human Capital, Asia Pacific, Aon. “Employers
need to manage rising costs while protecting the value of employee benefits. To 
outperform average medical trend rates, organisations should use workforce and claims
data to evaluate plan design, provider networks and financing strategies that can
help improve long-term outcomes.”

 ** Medical Cost Trends Vary Across APAC Markets **

 The outlook varies considerably across markets. The decline in the regional trend
rate is driven largely by China and India, which are projected to see medical trend
rates decrease by 1.8 and 1.4 percentage points, respectively. Medical trend rates
are also expected to moderate in Australia, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, 
South Korea, Thailand and Vietnam, although five of those markets are still projected
to record double-digit trend rates in 2027.

 These declines are partly offset by higher projected trend rates in Singapore and
Taiwan, while Hong Kong is expected to remain flat at 9%. Across the region, ageing
populations and the growing prevalence of chronic conditions continue to influence
healthcare utilisation and costs.

 “The moderation in the region’s medical costs should not be interpreted as uniform
relief for employers,” said Alan Oates, Head, Global Benefits, Asia Pacific, Aon.“
Medical trend varies significantly across markets, reflecting different healthcare
systems, supply and demand factors, demographic and disease patterns. Employers 
must analyse their own workforce insights alongside locally relevant data and market
benchmarks to make informed decisions about benefits, design and where to invest.
Insurers are investing at different rates in new technologies to understand and 
manage utilisation and employers should ensure they compare the fast-developing 
capability to deliver value.”

  |   |   **2026**  |   **2027**  |  
 |   |   **Annual General Inflation Rate**** (%)**  |   **Annual Medical Trend Rates**** (%)**  |   **Annual General Inflation Rate**** (%)**  |   **Annual Medical Trend Rates**** (%)**  |  
 |   |   |   **Gross**  |   **Net**  |   |   **Gross**  |   **Net**  |  
 |   **Asia****Pacific**  |   **2.4**  |   **11.3**  |   **8.9**  |   **2.5**  |   **9.7**  |   **7.2**  |  
 |   Australia  |   3.5  |   5.2  |   1.7  |   3.2  |   4.9  |   1.7  |  
 |   Bangladesh  |   5.2  |   10  |   4.8  |   6  |   10  |   4  |  
 |   China  |   0.6  |   7.8  |   7.2  |   1.5  |   6  |   4.5  |  
 |   Hong Kong  |   2.2  |   9  |   6.8  |   1.8  |   9  |   7.2  |  
 |   India  |   4.1  |   11.5  |   7.4  |   4  |   10.1  |   6.1  |  
 |   Indonesia  |   2.5  |   16.9  |   14.4  |   2.6  |   17.3  |   14.7  |  
 |   Japan  |   1.7  |   2.7  |   1  |   2.3  |   3.1  |   0.8  |  
 |   Kazakhstan  |   9.4  |   29  |   19.6  |   10.1  |   32  |   21.9  |  
 |   Malaysia  |   2.2  |   16  |   13.8  |   2  |   14.7  |   12.7  |  
 |   Mongolia  |   9.1  |   n/a  |   n/a  |   7.2  |   10  |   2.8  |  
 |   New Zealand  |   2  |   18  |   16  |   2.3  |   14  |   11.7  |  
 |   Pakistan  |   7.7  |   23.5  |   15.8  |   8.4  |   24.4  |   16  |  
 |   Papua New Guinea  |   4.6  |   15  |   10.4  |   4.4  |   5  |   0.6  |  
 |   Philippines  |   2.9  |   14  |   11.1  |   3.2  |   11  |   7.8  |  
 |   Singapore  |   1.5  |   13  |   11.5  |   1.9  |   14.7  |   12.8  |  
 |   South Korea  |   1.8  |   11.5  |   9.7  |   1.9  |   10.5  |   8.6  |  
 |   Sri Lanka  |   n/a  |   6.5  |   n/a  |   n/a  |   14.3  |   n/a  |  
 |   Taiwan  |   1.6  |   8  |   6.4  |   1.6  |   10  |   8.4  |  
 |   Thailand  |   0.9  |   14.8  |   13.9  |   1  |   11.7  |   10.7  |  
 |   Vietnam  |   2.5  |   12.2  |   9.7  |   4.6  |   9.9  |   5.3  |

 * Projections as of October 12, 2026

 ** Chronic Conditions Continue to Drive Claims **

 Cardiovascular disease remains the leading condition driving medical claims in 
the region, followed by ENT/lung and respiratory diseases, and cancer or tumor growth.
Hospitalisation, clinics and laboratories remain the most costly elements of medical
plan costs, while prescription medication has moved into third place compared to
last year. Gastrointestinal, musculoskeletal and back conditions are also becoming
more prevalent in the region.

 In APAC, the principal risk factors contributing to future claims are high blood
pressure, physical inactivity and poor nutrition, while high cholesterol and blood
glucose are also increasing in prevalence.

 Wellness initiatives remain the most widely expected approach to managing rising
medical plan costs in the region, retaining the top rank for the third consecutive
year with 95% of employers expected to use this approach. Plan design changes ranked
second at 70%, followed by cost containment and financing strategies at 65%. Fifty
five percent of employers are expected to undertake access and delivery restrictions
and flexible benefit plans to curb medical cost escalation and promote a healthy
workforce. While both increased slightly over the past year, the prevalence of flexible
benefit plans has risen by 10 percentage points over the past two years, indicating
the emphasis that employers are placing on flexible benefits on managing overall
costs.

 ** About the 2027 Global Medical Trend Rates Report **

 The 2027 Global Medical Trend Rates Report is based on insights from over 100 Aon
offices that broker, administer or advise on employer-sponsored medical plans. The
findings reflect the expectations of Aon professionals based on their interactions
with clients and carriers across the region. Medical trend represents the anticipated
annual percentage increase in the cost of treating patients and providing healthcare
services. A lower trend rate means that healthcare costs are increasing more slowly,
not that total costs are decreasing.

Hashtag: #Aon #MedicalTrendRates #APAC

[https://www.aon.com/](https://www.aon.com/)
[https://www.linkedin.com/company/aon](https://www.linkedin.com/company/aon)
[https://twitter.com/Aon_plc](https://twitter.com/Aon_plc)[https://www.facebook.com/Aonplc](https://www.facebook.com/Aonplc)
[https://www.instagram.com/aonplc/](https://www.instagram.com/aonplc/)

The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.

#### About Aon

[Aon plc](https://www.aon.com/) (NYSE: AON) exists to shape decisions for the better—
to protect and enrich the lives of people around the world. Through actionable analytic
insight, globally integrated Risk Capital and Human Capital expertise, and locally
relevant solutions, our colleagues provide clients in over 120 countries with the
clarity and confidence to make better risk and people decisions that help protect
and grow their businesses.

 Follow Aon on [LinkedIn](https://www.linkedin.com/company/aon), [X](https://twitter.com/Aon_plc),
[Facebook ](https://www.facebook.com/Aonplc)and [Instagram](https://www.instagram.com/aonplc/).
Stay up-to-date by visiting Aon’s [newsroom](https://aon.mediaroom.com/) and sign
up for news alerts [here](https://aon.mediaroom.com/get-news-alerts-by-email).

 **Disclaimer**

 The information contained in this document is solely for information purposes, 
for general guidance only and is not intended to address the circumstances of any
particular individual or entity. Although Aon endeavours to provide accurate and
timely information and uses sources that it considers reliable, the firm does not
warrant, represent or guarantee the accuracy, adequacy, completeness or fitness 
for any purpose of any content of this document and can accept no liability for 
any loss incurred in any way by any person who may rely on it. There can be no guarantee
that the information contained in this document will remain accurate as on the date
it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No individual
or entity should make decisions or act based solely on the information contained
herein without appropriate professional advice and targeted research.

![](//track.media-outreach.com/index.php/WebView/493264/36955)

**Source** : [APAC Medical Cost Growth Projected to Slow to 9.7% in 2027, Aon Report](https://www.media-outreach.com/news/singapore/2026/10/12/493264/?rand=186006)

---

  |  This article was produced by Media OutReach, our trusted news partner. The views expressed and the content presented here are solely those of the author and may not reflect the opinions of Thailand Business News. |

---

![Media OutReach Newswire](https://i0.wp.com/www.thailand-business-news.com/wp-content/
uploads/2025/04/media-outreach-20025.png?ssl=1)
