# Business leaders urge COP31 Presidency to commit to global action on clean electrification and heavy industry to keep global warming well below 2°C

- Link: https://www.thailand-business-news.com/pr-news/business-leaders-urge-cop31-presidency-to-commit-to-global-action-on-clean-electrification-and-heavy-industry-to-keep-global-warming-well-below-2c
- Published: 2026-11-06T16:00:00+07:00
- Author: PR Newswire

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 ◦ Global warming will reach 2.6°C by 2100 if no new policy support is offered and
   technologies are adopted only when they become cost-competitive, say signatories
   of a letter published today.
 ◦ Clean electrification, with electricity meeting over 50% of final energy demand
   by mid-century, and phasing down coal use for electricity generation could cut
   projected warming to around 2.3°C, with low or no cost.
 ◦ But projected temperatures will not reach below 2°C without action to decarbonise
   heavy industry, aviation and shipping, deeply cut methane emissions and end deforestation.
 ◦ Combined, these five priority action areas could reduce warming to around 1.8
   °C – but this is not cost-free and requires policy support.
 ◦ Exponential growth in carbon removals is required to bring potential warming 
   down to 1.5°C.

LONDON, Nov. 6, 2026 /PRNewswire/ — Over 30 members of the Energy Transitions Commission(
ETC) today urge COP31 President Murat Kurum and President of Negotiations Chris 
Bowen to put clean electrification and the hard-to-electrify sectors at the centre
of the climate summit’s outcome, as new ETC analysis shows current policies leave
the world on course for 2.6°C of warming.

Degree of Difference: Limiting global warming is still vital, and still possible

Their letter, published today alongside the ETC briefing [_Still vital, still possible: How governments and businesses can work together to limit global warming_](https://www.energy-transitions.org/publications/still-vital-still-possible/)_,_
comes days before negotiators gather in Türkiye. Signatories include ETC Commissioners
from Arup, Envision, Grantham Research Institute (LSE), Octopus Energy, Rothschild,
Schneider Electric, Tata Steel, and Vattenfall alongside other leaders from clean
power and utilities, heavy industry, transport, and finance.

The signatories ask the Presidency to place two priorities at the centre of the 
COP31 outcome:

 ◦ Accelerate clean electrification by backing the [target](https://url.uk.m.mimecastprotect.com/s/4K__Cj8VmIYE8PNF7sAEtmc83V?domain=unfccc.int)
   of 35% electrification by 2035 and developing country strategies to deliver it.
 ◦ Act on the hard-to-electrify sectors by committing globally to faster decarbonisation
   of steel, cement, aluminium, chemicals, aviation and shipping, including through
   carbon prices.

The letter pushes back against a growing discourse suggesting the Paris goal of 
limiting global warming to well below 2°C is out of reach. It argues this narrative
risks weakening climate policy and corporate commitments just as clean technologies
reach scale. Conversely, strong commitments on clean electrification and the hard-
to-electrify sectors could relaunch the ‘ambition loop’ of policy, private investment
and falling technology costs that followed the Paris Agreement and already curbed
future warming projections from upper bounds of 4°C to 2.6°C.

"Keeping global warming well below 2°C is still vital and still possible," said **
Adair Turner, Co-Chair of the Energy Transitions Commission**. "Costs of solar, 
wind, batteries and electric vehicles have fallen faster than forecast 10 years 
back, reducing the danger of catastrophic global warming above 3°C. But with unchanged
policies, we’re still on track to about 2.6°C by 2100. To keep well below 2°C, we
must turbocharge clean electrification which in many applications will deliver both
lower emissions and lower costs. But we must also meet more difficult challenges–
reducing the utilisation of existing coal plants; decarbonising heavy industry, 
shipping and aviation; and radically reducing methane emissions from fossil fuel
production and agriculture. In many cases, this will entail accepting some increased
costs, but these costs are far less than the cost of unchecked climate change."

"Clean electrification has momentum, like a boulder rolling downhill. We need to
clear its path with faster grids and permitting for it to accelerate. Heavy industry,
methane, deforestation and removals are like boulders stuck at the foot of the hill,
needing carbon prices and finance to push them uphill. Move both and we take almost
a degree off future warming with a huge impact: fewer wildfires, floods and failed
harvests, and a lower risk of irreversible tipping points," said **Jules Kortenhorst,
Co-Chair of the Energy Transitions Commission.**

**What the ETC’s new analysis shows**

Clean electrification can deliver the biggest cut to projected warming, to around
2.3°C. That involves building the new energy system and phasing out the old: electricity’s
share of final energy rises from 20% to over 50% by 2050, and coal falls to under
5% of power. Past forecasts underestimated falling solar and battery costs, so faster
electrification could cut bills and emissions. Only early coal retirement carries
a clear cost.

Decarbonising heavy industry, aviation and shipping can remove about 0.2°C, but 
faces a green premium. However, green steel costs around 45% more than conventional
steel, but only adds around 1.2% to the price of a car. Carbon prices of around 
$100 per tonne, close to EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) prices today and in the
coming years, would drive decarbonisation of steel and cement; aviation and shipping
need $200–300 per tonne.

A cut of around 45% in annual fossil, agricultural and waste methane emissions by
2050 removes about 0.2°C. Ending deforestation by 2035 removes a further 0.07°C.

Returning warming to 1.5°C by 2100 is more costly, requiring over 500 Gt of CO₂ 
removals this century, costing over $500 billion a year, or about 0.4% of today’s
global GDP. Today, purchased removals total less than 20 Mt per year.

[Download the briefing.](https://www.energy-transitions.org/publications/still-vital-still-possible/)

The [ETC ](https://www.energy-transitions.org/)is a global coalition of leaders 
from energy producers, energy-intensive industries, technology providers, finance
and environmental NGOs, committed to achieving net-zero emissions by mid-century,
in line with the Paris climate objective of limiting global warming to well below
2°C and ideally to 1.5°C. The ETC is hosted by Systemiq Ltd.

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