# Relief from insolvency pressures unlikely before H2 2027, says Atradius

- Link: https://www.thailand-business-news.com/pr-news/relief-from-insolvency-pressures-unlikely-before-h2-2027-says-atradius
- Published: 2026-10-15T15:41:00+07:00
- Author: PR Newswire

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AMSTERDAM, Oct. 15, 2026 /PRNewswire/ — Global insolvencies are projected to increase
by 5% in 2026, as businesses continue to face high input costs, trade tensions, 
elevated energy prices and tighter financing conditions. Insolvencies are expected
to decline by 4% in 2027, with signs of normalisation expected to become visible
during the second half of the year, according to the [Atradius Insolvency Outlook published today.](https://group.atradius.com/knowledge-and-research/reports/economic-research-insolvency-outlook-oct-2026)

Atradius notes that insolvencies have proven more persistent than anticipated earlier
this year, prompting an upward revision to its 2026 forecast and a more modest decline
in 2027.

"The business environment remains challenging as high input costs and trade tensions
persist," said Theo Smid, Senior Economist at Atradius. "Insolvencies are still 
expected to rise in 2026, based on realised data and our expectations for the remainder
of the year. While we expect conditions to begin easing in 2027, this marks the 
start of a process rather than a full return to normal."

However, the expected decline in insolvencies is not being driven by a significant
improvement in business conditions. Instead, it reflects a gradual adjustment by
businesses to a more challenging economic environment.

The latest forecast assumes that the most vulnerable firms will exit the market 
by early 2027, while surviving businesses continue to adapt their cost structures,
financing arrangements, and pricing strategies to a higher-cost environment. This
adaptation, rather than a significant improvement in economic conditions, is expected
to drive the decline in insolvencies.

**Regional developments**

On a regional level, Europe and Asia-Pacific are both forecast to see insolvencies
decline by 5%, while North America is expected to record a more modest 3% decrease.
Across individual markets, the path to normalisation will not be uniform:

 ◦ UK insolvencies are expected to remain near historically high levels as post-
   pandemic debt, high borrowing costs and weak consumer demand continue to weigh
   on businesses
 ◦ Romania is one of the few markets where insolvencies are expected to increase
   further, reflecting ongoing fiscal, political and inflationary pressures
 ◦ Australia and South Korea are expected to drive much of the improvement in Asia-
   Pacific, as insolvencies ease from historically elevated levels
 ◦ In the US, insolvencies are expected to decline as firms adapt to the new environment
   of elevated inflation and interest rates, while economic growth remains relatively
   resilient

Read the full report: [https://group.atradius.com/knowledge-and-research/reports/economic-research-insolvency-outlook-oct-2026](https://group.atradius.com/knowledge-and-research/reports/economic-research-insolvency-outlook-oct-2026)

Press contact: Pavel Gómez del Castillo | [pavel.gomezdelcastillo@atradius.com](https://www.thailand-business-news.com/pr-news/pavel.gomezdelcastillo@atradius.com)

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**Read the original article :** [Relief from insolvency pressures unlikely before H2 2027, says Atradius ](http://www.prnasia.com/story/archive/5072226_AE72226_0?rand=184833)