Thailand Investment – Global and domestic crises are worsening and moving through the first quarter of 2009 the market outlook forecasts an extremely challenging property market in Samui and other key resort areas in Thailand, according to C9 Hotelworks’ latest Samui Luxury Villa Market Report.
Thailand is still suffering from the recent political events and a national agenda which focused more on domestic affairs whilst other regional economies were gearing up to address the impact of a global downturn. As a positive though, the Thai baht depreciated approximately 15% over the past 12 months versus major currencies and is forecasted to devalue another 5% in 2009, thus creating lower acquisition prices for offshore buyers.
The Thai luxury property market is operating at a severe handicap versus more developed markets, due to the fact that in a segment dominated by overseas investors there have been no significant government stimulus packages, or reforms addressing foreign ownership of land and availability of mortgages to foreigners.
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Samui luxury property market faces challenging times
Although the Thai real estate industry has continued growing significantly since 2008, we have not seen a real estate bubble environment manifesting. The industry seems to have learned its lessons during the 1997 financial crisis and has successfully implemented the following safeguards: The banking industry has become much more cautious providing project financing and mortgage loans.
The completion of the Suvarnabhumi-Bangkok International Airport has spurred growth in commercial property markets in eastern Bangkok as well as in the beach resort of Pattaya. Thailand has become even more accessible by air with a wide range if International carriers using Bangkok as a hub. In recent years, there has also been a surge in budge carriers, offering very competitive prices to both local and international destinations.
Compared to 1997, most Real estate companies are able to respond much more quickly to changes
Thailand’s property market was able to rebound from past crises and there is every reason to believe it will be able to absorb the blow of recent political tensions. The taxation situation has actually improved the conditions for purchasing property in Thailand, and if property prices do dip slightly as a result of the current situation it may actually be a good time to buy as there is a very real possibility Thailand property will regain its golden outlook soonAs a result, the financial condition of most major housing developers in Thailand is much more robust than in the past. The development of the local bond markets and increasing domestic savings has the made the industry much less dependent on foreign funds, a significant difference from 1997.
Falling consumer confidence : The slowing global economy together with unstable local political and economic environments will result in falling consumer sentiment and confidence in Thailand. Consumers will delay home purchases because they will be unsure of current and future incomes – directly affecting real estate demand. The general public will also begin losing confidence in the financial sectors, although not as severely as in foreign countries.
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