Connect with us

Markets

SET index up 1.96%

The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) composite index on Wednesday gained 13.58 points or 1.96 per cent to close at 707.65 points. The market value was 16.06 billion baht, with 2.97 billion shares traded.

Boris Sullivan

Published

on

The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) composite index on Wednesday gained 13.58 points or 1.96 per cent to close at 707.65 points. The market value was 16.06 billion baht, with 2.97 billion shares traded.

Read more here:
SET index up 1.96%

Significant downside risks remain should political instability resurface in Thailand and the global decline proved more protracted or steeper than now expected

Inflation has been easing with the slowdown in economic activity and the decline in oil and food prices. After peaking at 9.3 percent in July 2008, 12-month inflation fell to only 0.4 percent in December, although the average for 2009 at 5.5 percent was roughly double the level in 2007. Core inflation averaged 2.3 percent in 2008, within the central bank’s target of 0-3.5 percent. In January and February, prices declined 0.3 percent from the first two months of 2008, but this has been driven primarily by fuel prices, with other prices still increasing year-on-year. Given the increased excess capacity in the economy and the continuing decline in global oil and food prices this year, inflation in 2009 is expected to be negligible.
Export volumes are projected to contract 16 percent in 2009 after a 6 percent expansion in 2008. Exports of services, more than half of which were accounted for by tourism receipts (around 8 percent of GDP) will also be heavily impacted by the slowdown in arrivals from advanced countries (40 percent of total tourists). Accordingly, exports of services are projected to contract by 6.6 percent this year. Import volumes should contract more than exports due to businesses running down inventories and a contraction in overall investment and consumption of imports. Net foreign demand will nevertheless contribute negatively to growth since in real terms exports represent a much larger share of GDP than imports.
Expansionary monetary policy has been employed to help mitigate the impact of the global financial crisis and is starting to be reflected in the financial sector’s lending rates. As inflation rose rapidly in the first half of the year, the central bank of Thailand lowered its policy rate by 50 basis points to 3.75 percent. The decline in inflation facilitated cuts to 2.75 percent in December and 1.5 percent in late February. Market indicators confirm Thailand’s relatively strong financial position. Large foreign exchange reserves, smaller gross financing requirements on both the fiscal and external side, and ample domestic liquidity are among the key strengths in the current crisis. Despite the political turmoil late last year, CDS spreads have risen by about 100 bps less than some other East Asian countries since the onset of the global financial crisis in mid-September.

Thailand’s economic growth is falling by more than earlier expected amid a sharp and continuing decline in global trade.

“Countries like Thailand that have been dependent on manufacturing exports are most affected,” said Verghis, who covers Thailand and four other Southeast Asian countries. The World Bank released its latest forecasts for Thailand and other economies in East Asia and Pacific on Tuesday. The global economic slump shut down what has been, for the past three decades, the main engine for Thailand’s economic growth: exports. As a result, the manufacturing sector has been badly hit. The Thai government estimated that one million or more workers would lose their jobs this year due to the slowdown. In January, the unemployment rate stood at 2.4 percent of the total workforce – a full percentage point higher than the 1.4 percent recorded in December 2008.

SET index up 1.96%

So far, the Thai government has enough capacity to finance the first economic stimulus package and the three-year public investment plan. In the face of shrinking revenues, the government estimates its budget deficit to be about 525 billion baht, or 6 percent of Thailand’s gross domestic product, in the fiscal year ending September 2009. It is also seeking loans from domestic and external sources to shore up the budget and support planned investment.

However, the World Bank cautioned that, for public debt to remain manageable, budget deficits will need to be reduced over the next few years and growth needs to return its long-term average, highlighting the importance of using the crisis as an opportunity to enhance growth prospects.

Manufacturing Production Index in Thailand (preliminary) posted a historical contraction of 18.8 percent year-on-year (yoy), compared to a contraction of 14.9 percent (yoy) in May 1998. A notable decline in both domestic and external demand resulted in the contraction in most categories including electronics, electrical appliances, vehicle, and iron products.

Comments

Forex

Leverage from Forex Brokers & How Beginners Can Benefit from It

In this post, we will tell you what to look for when choosing a broker in order not to fall into a financial trap and how to benefit from dealing with such companies.

Pr News

Published

on

By

Recent statistics show that the number of people willing to invest in the stock market is steadily growing from year to year.

(more…)
Continue Reading

Forex

How to Trade the EUR/USD Currency Pair: Professional Tips

The behaviour of the EUR/USD pair is a kind of indicator showing the comparative condition of the US and EU economies. If the US economy steadily grows, and problems arise in the EU, the EUR/USD decreases.

Pr News

Published

on

By

EUR/USD is one of the most popular currency pairs for Forex trading. Since the beginning of trading in 1999, the currency pair has undergone significant changes. For the first two years, the future for the euro was uncertain and the quotation was declining, reaching a minimum of 0.8200.

(more…)
Continue Reading

Markets

Thailand remains ASEAN’s largest Exporter of Vegetables

Currently, the kingdom has FTA agreements with 17 countries, 13 of which no longer levy import duties on Thai vegetables, including China, Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, Chile, Peru and 6 countries in ASEAN.

National News Bureau of Thailand

Published

on

Thailand has FTA agreements with 17 countries, 13 of which no longer levy import duties on Thai vegetables.

LAMPANG (NNT) – Despite economic stagnation and border closures, due to COVID-19, Thailand remains ASEAN’s largest exporter of fresh refrigerated vegetables, while being 14th in the world.

(more…)
Continue Reading

Latest

Most Viewed

Subscribe via Email

Enter your email address to subscribe and receive notifications of new posts by email.

Join 13,609 other subscribers

Trending