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$4000 ? What’s behind the bitcoin boom

Boris Sullivan

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In March this year, the price of one bitcoin climbed above the price of one ounce of gold for the first time.

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While the idea of Bitcoin seems like something out of a science fiction novel, the idea of having a stateless currency is actually rooted in the past. The idea first originated with John Maynard Keynes in 1940, who proposed an international currency as a unit of account in order to combat trade imbalances.

But Chinese authorities are moving toward a broad clampdown on bitcoin trading, testing the resilience of the virtual currency as well as the idea its decentralized nature protects it from government interference.

China’s Cryptocurrency Crackdown

Regulators have decided on a comprehensive ban on channels for the buying or selling of the virtual currency in China that goes beyond plans to shut commercial bitcoin exchanges.

Bitcoin’s price has just bounced back above $4,000 following market losses linked to the recent regulatory crackdown in China.

After China’s early September ban on initial coin offerings (ICOS), news on September 15 that bitcoin exchanges were shutting down following directives from government officials sparked a market drop that sent prices reeling to a low of $2,981.

The price of a bitcoin doubled last year, and has doubled again so far this year to around 3800 dollars. In the wake of bitcoin’s recent surge, almost $4billion was wiped off its value. But the correction didn’t last long, and the price began to climb again.

Analysts put this down to the fact that investors think it will hold its value better than some other investments, as well as the fact that it has become increasingly popular in Asia.

Bitcoin has rocketed more than 350% this year while exploding in popularity, particularly in Asia. This rally “won’t end well,” said JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon adding bitcoin is worse than the most famous asset bubble in history.

Major investors are interested

Amid global political and economic uncertainty, investors have been turning away from traditional stock and bond markets, which have been shaken by big events from the Brexit vote to the US presidential election.

Ron Quaranta, Chairman of the Wall Street Blockchain Alliance, told Bloomberg that institutional investors, such as banks, insurers, pension funds, hedge funds and asset managers, are beginning to view bitcoin and its rival cryptocurrency ethereum as a new type of investment.

“Bitcoin and Ether and all these cryptocurrencies are representing a different type of asset class; a different type of tradeable commodity. Investment managers are our fastest growing demographic,” he said.

 

He also believes that what investors are really betting on is the success of blockchain – the groundbreaking technology behind bitcoin.

The bitcoin surge has been driven in part by increased investor interest outside of the US, particularly in China, South Korea and Japan.

There is also speculation that wealthy Chinese investors are using the cryptocurrency as a way of getting around controls that limit capital outflow from the country.

And we may well see an official bitcoin exchange-traded fund in the near future. Although the proposed fund was initially rejected by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, the regulator is reviewing its decision, a move that has further pumped up confidence.

More and more people are using it

Despite being dismissed as a passing fad, bitcoin has been gaining in popularity and legitimacy. In Japan, for instance, new legislation allows retailers to begin accepting it as legal tender.

And the Russian government, which was previously hostile to bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, is making moves towards accepting them.

Many banks now trust bitcoin enough to use it for payments. CNBC reports that 10 financial institutions signed up with cryptocurrency platform Ripple in May to send real-time international payments. They joined a roster of clients that already included Bank of America and RBC.

A growing number of retailers accept bitcoin. A recent Cambridge University study estimates between 2.9 million and 5.8 million people use cryptocurrency wallets. It’s easy to buy bitcoins, and there is now a Bitcoin Visa Debit card which makes spending them easier.

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Asian Development Bank

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