Ongoing anti-government protest which started since November last year, has cast shadow over the country’s economy with forecast this year at just 2.4%
Siam Commercial Bank (SCB)’s economic and business research centre said Thai political turmoil is a key risk factor for the country’s GDP growth this year. It forecast GDP in 2014 will grow at 2.4% due to the political crisis despite recovering global economy.
It also projected that Thai baht will weaken to stand between 32-35 baht per US dollar while the country’s export will expand at 6% this year. Meanwhile, the Thai National Shippers’ Council predicted that Thailand’s export will grow by 5% this year on the condition that the global economy grows at 3.5%.
It said the country’s exports in December 2013 and in the first quarter of 2014 are not affected by the political turmoil as exporters have already received orders in advance.
Consumer confidence falls to record low in 26 months
The University of Thai Chamber Commerce ‘s research division revealed today that the consumer confidence Index CCI in January dropped to 71.5 points, from 73.4 points in December. The drop was seen as the lowest in 26 months.
The UTCC president Saowanee Thairungroj said overall confidence in the economy during the month fell to 61.4 points. Confidence in job opportunities dropped to 65.1 points and confidence in people’s future income went down to 88.1 points.All consumer confidence indices were down for the tenth month in a row and hit a 26-month low not seen since December 2011, she said.She said an index below 100 points indicates low consumer confidence.
She attributed negative factors that eroded confidence to concerns about political turmoil and the declaration of the state of emergency in Bangkok and nearby provinces, which affected consumer confidence and the country’s image in the international community.Failure of the caretaker government to make rice-pledging payments to farmers, the central bank slashing its growth projection for 2013 to below 3%, the weakening baht, and uncertainty in the global economic recovery also added to decline in confidence index.
But she was also optimistic that positive factors such as central bank monetary policy committee decision to keep its key policy rate unchanged at 2.25% and the stable domestic retail price of fuel would help to shore up confidence.
Thailand relaxes COVID-19 measures to help revive economy
During the past couple weeks, new infection cases have been down from roughly 20,000 daily cases to 17,000 -19,000. Moreover, the number of daily discharges is exceeding infections, which has led to the conclusion that the situation is improving.
Thailand relaxed more virus related social curbs on September 1st, in dozens of cities including Bangkok, in a move that may indicate that the country’s economy, hit hard by COVID-19 will soon revive, lead by the export sector and sound financial fundamentals.(more…)
Southeast Asia to relinquish its lead over Latin America says Moody’s
While the emerging economies of Southeast Asia have outperformed their counterparts in Latin America for most of the past two decades, their lead will slide in the next few quarters as Southeast Asian governments clamp down to fight the pandemic’s lingering second and third waves.
The Delta surge is casting larger clouds over the global recovery and emerging markets are in the thick of it. Despite the ebbing of the coronavirus variant in India, where it first emerged, its spread in Southeast Asia, Africa, and the Middle East has steepened the road to recovery in these regions.(more…)
Thailand Approves Package to Attract Wealthy Foreigners and Professionals
Thailand’s Cabinet has approved an economic stimulus and investment promotion package aimed at attracting wealthy foreigners and highly skilled professionals...
The Role of Telemedicine Today: During and Beyond the COVID-19
Lockdowns, quarantine periods, and hospitals fast filling to the brink needed the medical community to come up with solutions fast....
Malaysia, Thailand banks to join the ASEAN Banking Integration Framework
Banking institutions from Thailand and Malaysia are invited to join the ASEAN Banking Integration Framework and indicate their interest to...
Climate Change Could Force 49 Million People to Migrate in East Asia and the Pacific
Out-migration hotspots in agricultural areas of central Thailand and Myanmar coincide with areas expected to see declines in both water...
Thailand BOI Approves Measures to Support Carbon Reduction
greenhouse gas emission as well as an enhanced scheme for electric vehicles and measures to mitigate Covid-19 impacts and support...