A spate of public and private positive forecasts have revised up Thailand’s GDP growth projection for 2018 to over 4 per cent.
Earlier this week the Joint Standing Committee on Commerce, Industry and Banking (JSCCIB) increased the group’s 2018 GDP projection from growth of 3.8-4.5% to 4.0-4.5% after witnessing better sentiment over the first two months of the year.
Steady gains in Thailand’s export and tourism receipts
According to Bank of Thailand latest press release, tourism registered a growth of 10.9 per cent January and 13.9 per cent in February mostly on the back of Chinese arrivals
The Joint Standing Committee on Commerce, Industry and Banking (JSCCIB) also cites the sustained recovery of the global economy and the steady gains in Thailand’s export and tourism receipts.
JSCCIB chairman Chen Namchaisiri said Thailand’s economic indicators for the first two months of 2018 show consistent expansion in overseas shipments on the back of the positive global economic conditions, as well as the tourism boom.
But the private sector has expressed concerns that public investment may not grow as forecast after contracting 6% year-on-year in the first quarter of fiscal 2018 (October-December 2017).
Others economic forecasters have also revise up the country’s economy growth projections thanks to public investment along with the robust export and tourism sectors.
Kasikorn Research Centre (Kresearch) is sticking with a forecast of 4.5 per cent export growth, amid concerns over a trade war. It estimates economic growth of 4 per cent for this year, shading earlier estimates.
The SCB Economic Intelligence Centre (EIC) has pencilled in economic growth of 4 per cent for this year, up from an earlier estimate.
EIC expects the Thai economy to continue expanding at 4.0%YOY in 2018, but the concentration of growth as in Q4/2017 is likely to remain. Given the stronger outlook of the global economy and declining risks of economic slowdown in major economies, Thailand’s merchandise exports and tourism will likely remain key growth drivers this year.
The centre, a unit of Siam Commercial Bank, said exports and the number of tourist arrivals are projected to see year-on-year expansion of 5 per cent and 8 per cent, respectively.
IMF and SCB lower Thai growth forecast under 3%
IMF and SCB have joined other banks and organisations to predict Thai economic growth under 3% for 2019.
Thailand drops to 40th in WEF Global Competitiveness Report
Thailand’s competitiveness ranking has dropped two spots from 38th to 40th in the World Economic Forum’s Global Competitiveness Index rankings for 2019
Thai private sector cuts economic growth forecast to 2.7-3% from 2.9-3.3%
The Joint Standing Committee on Commerce, Industry and Banking has revised downward its forecast of Thailand’s economic growth this year to between 2.7 per cent and 3.0 per cent
The Joint Standing Committee on Commerce, Industry and Banking (JSCCIB) agreed today to lower down the economic growth projection (GDP) to 2.7-3% from 2.9-3.3% due to weakening economic growth during the first three quarters of the year.(more…)
Thailand Ecommerce Market: Shooting For Success
At present, the Thai ecommerce market is valued at USD 3.5 billion. According to a Google Temasek study, Thailand’s e-commerce...
Aspire Set to Become First SME Neobank in Southeast Asia with US$32.5 Million Raise
The recent financing has been led by Mass-Mutual Ventures Southeast Asia with participation from Silicon Valley’s Arc Labs and existing...
How is Thailand Bringing Technology to the Table?
In Asia, a country like Thailand has taken the initiative to implement agricultural biotechnology in its industry. The country has...