Middle East war may reduce Thailand’s economic growth in 2026 by 0.3–0.8%
SCB EIC predicts 2–6 weeks disruption in Strait of Hormuz, raising Brent oil to $75–$107/bbl, causing slower Thai growth, rising...
SCB EIC Analysis: Thailand’s Inflation Prospects in Light of Middle East Tensions
The Middle East conflict has disrupted oil markets, risking inflation in energy-dependent Thailand. Rising fuel, freight costs will hit businesses...
MPC lowers policy rate to 1%, signaling an extended low-rate approach and potential further cuts if risks emerge
The MPC cut the policy rate to 1% to ease financial conditions, support SMEs, and anchor inflation expectations, citing fragile...
SCB EIC raises Thailand’s 2026 GDP growth projection to 1.8%
SCB EIC raises Thailand's 2026 economic growth forecast to 1.8% due to improved exports and private investment. However, growth remains...
Global Supply Chains at Risk as the U.S. Proposes 25% Tariff on AI Chips
The U.S. will impose a 25% tariff on certain advanced AI chips from January 2026 to boost domestic manufacturing, impacting...
November Exports Rise for 17th Month but Risk 2026 Contraction Amid Challenges
In November 2025, Thai exports grew 7.1% YoY, driven by electronics and US demand, while imports surged 17.6%, causing a...
SCB EIC Anticipates Further Rate Cut in Early Next Year
The MPC unanimously voted to cut the policy rate from 1.50% to 1.25%. SCB EIC forecasts one more policy rate...
SCB EIC Monthly Report: Economic Outlook & Q4 2025 Forecast
Thailand’s 2026 economy will grow just 1.5%, pressured by global slowdown, trade wars, and domestic weaknesses. Urgent structural reforms, cautious...
