BANGKOK, 21 June 2019 (NNT) – Uncertainties regarding the forming of a new government and trade war concerns, have resulted in confidence among business operators in May 2019 continuing to decline, reaching a 15-month low, as shown in the latest TCC Confidence Index.

The figure is however, expected to improve in June once the new government proceeds with proposed megaprojects, injecting the economy with cash flow expected to help the Thai economy grow by 3.5 percent this year.

The University of the Thai Chambers of Commerce (UTCC) has released the May 2019 TCC Confidence Index, showing results from a survey of 370 Thai Chambers of Commerce members nationwide.

The TCC Confidence Index figure in May 2019 is recorded at 47.7, which is the lowest in 15 months, with lower indication scores in all regions including Bangkok and neighbouring provinces.

Consumption and investment performance has decelerated due to concerns regarding the forming of a new government, low farm product pricing affecting purchasing power, and the ongoing trade war between the U.S. and China affecting the Thai exports sector, the industrial sector, and trading sector.

UTCC’s Center for Economic and Business Forecasting Director Thanawat Ponvichai has described the Thai economy, especially local economies, as not robust, with farm product pricing becoming an issue in all regions, with only the tourism and service sectors in the eastern and northern regions performing above the median value of 50, indicating that the tourism industry is the key economic driver at the moment.

He said positive attributes can now be seen from improving farm product pricing in June, such as rice, palm oil, and rubber, while the establishment of the new government should lead to implementation of economic stimuli, especially disbursements of investment budgets, resulting in more hiring and procurement in various areas, as well as farm product price control measures, all of which are expected to help the Thai economy to grow by 3.8-4 percent in the latter half of 2019, pushing the annual growth this year to come in at 3.5 percent.l

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